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Who will Trump talk to in March?

Market icon

Who will Trump talk to in March?

$1,657,953 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,657,953 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Mark Rutte

$94,860 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Mohammed bin Salman

$6,297 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Xi Jinping

$1,355,541 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Nicolás Maduro

$27,042 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Yoon Suk Yeol

$2,662 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,355 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$7,065 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Kim Jong Un

$17,903 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Reza Pahlavi

$21,933 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$50,814 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Pope Leo XIV

$2,028 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Masoud Pezeshkian

$2,225 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte as the figure Donald Trump most likely spoke with during March 2026, with Yes shares trading at 58% amid credible reports from Rutte's March 22 Fox News interview confirming multiple conversations that week on alliance matters. This positioning reflects Trump's active diplomacy amid escalating U.S.-Iran conflict, including a confirmed Oval Office bilateral meeting with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on March 3 to discuss airstrikes, tariffs, and Ukraine support. Lower probabilities for others like Mohammed bin Salman (11%) or Volodymyr Zelenskyy (4%) stem from absence of comparable public confirmations, despite high trading volume on Xi Jinping. With March concluded, resolution hinges on consensus of reporting for verbal or in-person interactions by March 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,657,953
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte as the figure Donald Trump most likely spoke with during March 2026, with Yes shares trading at 58% amid credible reports from Rutte's March 22 Fox News interview confirming multiple conversations that week on alliance matters. This positioning reflects Trump's active diplomacy amid escalating U.S.-Iran conflict, including a confirmed Oval Office bilateral meeting with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on March 3 to discuss airstrikes, tariffs, and Ukraine support. Lower probabilities for others like Mohammed bin Salman (11%) or Volodymyr Zelenskyy (4%) stem from absence of comparable public confirmations, despite high trading volume on Xi Jinping. With March concluded, resolution hinges on consensus of reporting for verbal or in-person interactions by March 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,657,953
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump talk to in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Friedrich Merz" at 100%, followed by "Maria Corina Machado" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump talk to in March?" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump talk to in March?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump talk to in March?" is "Friedrich Merz" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Maria Corina Machado" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump talk to in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.