Trader consensus favors NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte at 59% implied probability for a March verbal interaction with President Trump, driven by Rutte's recent Fox News statement confirming multiple phone conversations this month on alliance burdens and Ukraine aid, though awaiting broader credible reporting consensus for resolution by April 30. Amid U.S. signals to wind down Iran operations—highlighted in Trump's March 9 call with Vladimir Putin discussing both Iran and Ukraine wars, plus outreach to India's Narendra Modi and the UK Prime Minister—no confirmed talks emerged with lower-priced options like Mohammed bin Salman (11%), Volodymyr Zelenskyy (4%), Xi Jinping (2%), or Masoud Pezeshkian (<1%), amid Trump's remarks that Iran lacks viable leaders for dialogue. Bilateral meetings on March 3, 17, and 19 remain unspecified in public reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$1,665,281 Vol.

Mark Rutte
14%

Mohammed bin Salman
4%

Nicolás Maduro
<1%

Xi Jinping
<1%

Yoon Suk Yeol
<1%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
<1%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
<1%

Kim Jong Un
<1%

Reza Pahlavi
<1%

MrBeast
<1%

Pope Leo XIV
<1%

Masoud Pezeshkian
<1%
$1,665,281 Vol.

Mark Rutte
14%

Mohammed bin Salman
4%

Nicolás Maduro
<1%

Xi Jinping
<1%

Yoon Suk Yeol
<1%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
<1%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
<1%

Kim Jong Un
<1%

Reza Pahlavi
<1%

MrBeast
<1%

Pope Leo XIV
<1%

Masoud Pezeshkian
<1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte at 59% implied probability for a March verbal interaction with President Trump, driven by Rutte's recent Fox News statement confirming multiple phone conversations this month on alliance burdens and Ukraine aid, though awaiting broader credible reporting consensus for resolution by April 30. Amid U.S. signals to wind down Iran operations—highlighted in Trump's March 9 call with Vladimir Putin discussing both Iran and Ukraine wars, plus outreach to India's Narendra Modi and the UK Prime Minister—no confirmed talks emerged with lower-priced options like Mohammed bin Salman (11%), Volodymyr Zelenskyy (4%), Xi Jinping (2%), or Masoud Pezeshkian (<1%), amid Trump's remarks that Iran lacks viable leaders for dialogue. Bilateral meetings on March 3, 17, and 19 remain unspecified in public reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions