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Who will Trump talk to in March?

Market icon

Who will Trump talk to in March?

$1,747,458 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,747,458 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Mark Rutte

$112,758 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Xi Jinping

$1,426,547 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mohammed bin Salman

$7,743 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte leads trader consensus at around 60% implied probability after stating in March 22, 2026, Fox News and CBS Face the Nation interviews that he held several conversations with President Trump that week, amid NATO discussions on defense spending and U.S. actions against Iran. Lacking White House or Trump confirmation, skeptics hold No shares firm, as resolution hinges on consensus of credible reporting by April 30. Lower odds on figures like Mohammed bin Salman (15%) or Volodymyr Zelenskyy (8%) reflect no comparable public disclosures, while Xi Jinping's outcome remains in review following Polymarket's rejection of unverified claims. March's end shifts focus to post-event verification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,747,458
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte leads trader consensus at around 60% implied probability after stating in March 22, 2026, Fox News and CBS Face the Nation interviews that he held several conversations with President Trump that week, amid NATO discussions on defense spending and U.S. actions against Iran. Lacking White House or Trump confirmation, skeptics hold No shares firm, as resolution hinges on consensus of credible reporting by April 30. Lower odds on figures like Mohammed bin Salman (15%) or Volodymyr Zelenskyy (8%) reflect no comparable public disclosures, while Xi Jinping's outcome remains in review following Polymarket's rejection of unverified claims. March's end shifts focus to post-event verification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,747,458
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump talk to in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Friedrich Merz" at 100%, followed by "Maria Corina Machado" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump talk to in March?" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump talk to in March?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump talk to in March?" is "Friedrich Merz" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Maria Corina Machado" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump talk to in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.