Who will Trump pardon in 2025?

Name: Who will Trump pardon in 2025?
Start: 2025-04-17T22:26:38.584911Z
End: 2025-12-31T12:00:00Z

$10,343,468 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Steve Bannon
$225,470 Vol.
5%
0123456789
%

Roger Stone
$33,974 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Bob Menendez
$154,984 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Roger Ver
$788,365 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Joe Exotic
$72,511 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Ghislaine Maxwell
$780,299 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Derek Chauvin
$250,340 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Elizabeth Holmes
$167,334 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Edward Snowden
$299,220 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Young Thug
$30,086 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Diddy
$778,244 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Julian Assange
$53,721 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Do Kwon
$114,152 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Eric Adams
$87,933 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Ryan Salame
$81,978 Vol.
1%

Sam Bankman-Fried
$1,661,253 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Hunter Biden
$433,684 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Matt Gaetz
$38,062 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Himself
$165,173 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Elon Musk
$311,539 Vol.
1%

Antoine Massey
$72,799 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Daniel Penny
$109,064 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Created At: Apr 17, 2025, 10:26 PM UTC

Volume

$10,343,468

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Created At

Apr 17, 2025, 10:26 PM UTC

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Beware of external links.

$10,343,468 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

Who will Trump pardon in 2025?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Steve Bannon

$225,470 Vol.

Roger Stone

$33,974 Vol.

Bob Menendez

$154,984 Vol.

Roger Ver

$788,365 Vol.

Joe Exotic

$72,511 Vol.

Ghislaine Maxwell

$780,299 Vol.

Derek Chauvin

$250,340 Vol.

Elizabeth Holmes

$167,334 Vol.

Edward Snowden

$299,220 Vol.

Young Thug

$30,086 Vol.

Diddy

$778,244 Vol.

Julian Assange

$53,721 Vol.

Do Kwon

$114,152 Vol.

Eric Adams

$87,933 Vol.

Ryan Salame

$81,978 Vol.

Sam Bankman-Fried

$1,661,253 Vol.

Hunter Biden

$433,684 Vol.

Matt Gaetz

$38,062 Vol.

Himself

$165,173 Vol.

Elon Musk

$311,539 Vol.

Antoine Massey

$72,799 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Penny

$109,064 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$10,343,468

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Created At

Apr 17, 2025, 10:26 PM UTC

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?

63%

Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition

99%

Trump Crypto Pardon Parlay

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump pardon in 2025?

Steve Bannon
$225,470 Vol.
5%
0123456789
%

Roger Stone
$33,974 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Bob Menendez
$154,984 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Roger Ver
$788,365 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Joe Exotic
$72,511 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Ghislaine Maxwell
$780,299 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Derek Chauvin
$250,340 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Elizabeth Holmes
$167,334 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Edward Snowden
$299,220 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Young Thug
$30,086 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Diddy
$778,244 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Julian Assange
$53,721 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Do Kwon
$114,152 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Eric Adams
$87,933 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Ryan Salame
$81,978 Vol.
1%

Sam Bankman-Fried
$1,661,253 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Hunter Biden
$433,684 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Matt Gaetz
$38,062 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Himself
$165,173 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Elon Musk
$311,539 Vol.
1%

Antoine Massey
$72,799 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Daniel Penny
$109,064 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Market Context