Who will Trump pardon in 2025?

Name: Who will Trump pardon in 2025?
Start: 2025-04-17T22:26:38.584911Z
End: 2025-12-31T12:00:00Z

$10,468,938 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Steve Bannon
$257,153 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Joe Exotic
$72,601 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Bob Menendez
$155,473 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Roger Stone
$34,163 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Roger Ver
$792,527 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Sam Bankman-Fried
$1,671,125 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Derek Chauvin
$251,895 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Diddy
$785,628 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Julian Assange
$55,472 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Ghislaine Maxwell
$788,396 Vol.
1%

Elizabeth Holmes
$168,046 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Eric Adams
$88,998 Vol.
1%

Edward Snowden
$301,405 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Ryan Salame
$82,165 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Young Thug
$53,728 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Elon Musk
$314,882 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Matt Gaetz
$38,451 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Hunter Biden
$448,116 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Do Kwon
$128,261 Vol.
1%

Himself
$165,742 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Antoine Massey
$73,057 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Daniel Penny
$109,563 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Created At: Apr 17, 2025, 10:26 PM UTC

Volume

$10,468,938

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Created At

Apr 17, 2025, 10:26 PM UTC

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Beware of external links.

$10,468,938 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

Who will Trump pardon in 2025?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Steve Bannon

$257,153 Vol.

Joe Exotic

$72,601 Vol.

Bob Menendez

$155,473 Vol.

Roger Stone

$34,163 Vol.

Roger Ver

$792,527 Vol.

Sam Bankman-Fried

$1,671,125 Vol.

Derek Chauvin

$251,895 Vol.

Diddy

$785,628 Vol.

Julian Assange

$55,472 Vol.

Ghislaine Maxwell

$788,396 Vol.

Elizabeth Holmes

$168,046 Vol.

Eric Adams

$88,998 Vol.

Edward Snowden

$301,405 Vol.

Ryan Salame

$82,165 Vol.

Young Thug

$53,728 Vol.

Elon Musk

$314,882 Vol.

Matt Gaetz

$38,451 Vol.

Hunter Biden

$448,116 Vol.

Do Kwon

$128,261 Vol.

Himself

$165,742 Vol.

<1%

Antoine Massey

$73,057 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Penny

$109,563 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$10,468,938

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Created At

Apr 17, 2025, 10:26 PM UTC

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?

56%

Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition

98%

Trump Crypto Pardon Parlay

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump pardon in 2025?

Steve Bannon
$257,153 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Joe Exotic
$72,601 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Bob Menendez
$155,473 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Roger Stone
$34,163 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Roger Ver
$792,527 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Sam Bankman-Fried
$1,671,125 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Derek Chauvin
$251,895 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Diddy
$785,628 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Julian Assange
$55,472 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Ghislaine Maxwell
$788,396 Vol.
1%

Elizabeth Holmes
$168,046 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Eric Adams
$88,998 Vol.
1%

Edward Snowden
$301,405 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Ryan Salame
$82,165 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Young Thug
$53,728 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Elon Musk
$314,882 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Matt Gaetz
$38,451 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Hunter Biden
$448,116 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Do Kwon
$128,261 Vol.
1%

Himself
$165,742 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Antoine Massey
$73,057 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Daniel Penny
$109,563 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Market Context