Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$43,293,071 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 50%

Kevin Warsh 40%

Christopher Waller 4.9%

Scott Bessent 1.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,293,071
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$43,293,071 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 50%

Kevin Warsh 40%

Christopher Waller 4.9%

Scott Bessent 1.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$2,746,315 Vol.

50%

Kevin Warsh

$944,639 Vol.

40%

Christopher Waller

$1,104,836 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$909,040 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$789,169 Vol.

1%

Rick Rieder

$777,917 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$752,426 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$1,059,283 Vol.

1%

Jerome Powell

$809,351 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,644,970 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,088,900 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$650,797 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$521,005 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,393,635 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,020,223 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$581,679 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,075,517 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,312,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$265,734 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,428,943 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$7,661,777 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$746,283 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$113,161 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$6,368,333 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$521,712 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$43,293,071
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.