Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$56,455,696 Vol.

Kevin Warsh 49%

Kevin Hassett 44%

Christopher Waller 4.7%

Scott Bessent 1.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,455,696
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$56,455,696 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 49%

Kevin Hassett 44%

Christopher Waller 4.7%

Scott Bessent 1.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Warsh

$1,239,335 Vol.

49%

Kevin Hassett

$3,120,254 Vol.

44%

Christopher Waller

$1,251,066 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$1,068,189 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$939,306 Vol.

1%

Rick Rieder

$913,072 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$1,251,363 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$917,989 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,138,700 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$937,005 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$8,791,316 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$655,866 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$522,005 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,447,828 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,081,657 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$608,906 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,099,945 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,317,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$269,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,434,797 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$8,286,398 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$746,283 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$116,161 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$10,741,177 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$566,246 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$56,455,696
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.