Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$77,510,449 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 59%

Kevin Warsh 19%

Christopher Waller 11.8%

Rick Rieder 6.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$77,510,449
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$77,510,449 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 59%

Kevin Warsh 19%

Christopher Waller 11.8%

Rick Rieder 6.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$5,041,605 Vol.

59%

Kevin Warsh

$2,078,787 Vol.

19%

Christopher Waller

$2,178,506 Vol.

12%

Rick Rieder

$1,487,656 Vol.

6%

Judy Shelton

$1,649,567 Vol.

2%

Scott Bessent

$1,705,085 Vol.

1%

Michelle Bowman

$1,732,644 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,356,756 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,757,402 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$798,697 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,406,338 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$697,297 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,493,836 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$682,424 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,537,735 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,251,172 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,292 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,245,674 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,423 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,493,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$13,378,922 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$237,778 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,129,112 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$730,571 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$77,510,449
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.