Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$17,386,632 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 73%

Kevin Warsh 13%

Christopher Waller 5.7%

Scott Bessent 3.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,386,632
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM
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$17,386,632 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 73%

Kevin Warsh 13%

Christopher Waller 5.7%

Scott Bessent 3.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$1,685,328 Vol.

73%

Kevin Warsh

$447,662 Vol.

13%

Christopher Waller

$699,504 Vol.

6%

Scott Bessent

$534,592 Vol.

4%

Michelle Bowman

$340,715 Vol.

3%

Rick Rieder

$425,078 Vol.

2%

Stephen Miran

$720,737 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$338,479 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$906,948 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$303,657 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$866,705 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$344,984 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$258,887 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$415,479 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,607,318 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$473,942 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$256,991 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$1,885,893 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$439,337 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$968,525 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,354,622 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$261,904 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$706,064 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$102,004 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$36,271 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$17,386,632
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM