Who will be the next Pope?
$30,143,338 Vol.
Ended
Robert Francis Prevost 100.0%
Other <1%
Luis Antonio Tagle <1%
Anders Arborelius <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
Robert Francis Prevost
$1,415,174 Vol.
Yes
Robert Francis Prevost
$1,415,174 Vol.
Yes
Other
$216,122 Vol.
No
Other
$216,122 Vol.
No
Luis Antonio Tagle
$2,273,962 Vol.
No
Luis Antonio Tagle
$2,273,962 Vol.
No
Anders Arborelius
$677,017 Vol.
No
Anders Arborelius
$677,017 Vol.
No
Jose Tolentino de Mendonca
$907,943 Vol.
No
Jose Tolentino de Mendonca
$907,943 Vol.
No
Kurt Koch
$250,685 Vol.
No
Kurt Koch
$250,685 Vol.
No
Raymond Burke
$1,052,993 Vol.
No
Raymond Burke
$1,052,993 Vol.
No
Robert Sarah
$1,632,340 Vol.
No
Robert Sarah
$1,632,340 Vol.
No
Péter Erdő
$1,294,703 Vol.
No
Péter Erdő
$1,294,703 Vol.
No
Jean-Marc Aveline
$1,051,688 Vol.
No
Jean-Marc Aveline
$1,051,688 Vol.
No
Charles Maung Bo
$777,468 Vol.
No
Charles Maung Bo
$777,468 Vol.
No
Jean-Claude Hollerich
$341,609 Vol.
No
Jean-Claude Hollerich
$341,609 Vol.
No
Peter Turkson
$1,838,083 Vol.
No
Peter Turkson
$1,838,083 Vol.
No
Pietro Parolin
$2,584,182 Vol.
No
Pietro Parolin
$2,584,182 Vol.
No
Francis Arinze
$1,266,172 Vol.
No
Francis Arinze
$1,266,172 Vol.
No
Angelo Scola
$1,174,712 Vol.
No
Angelo Scola
$1,174,712 Vol.
No
Wim Eijk
$1,566,413 Vol.
No
Wim Eijk
$1,566,413 Vol.
No
Mario Grech
$923,836 Vol.
No
Mario Grech
$923,836 Vol.
No
Fridolin Ambongo Besungu
$942,304 Vol.
No
Fridolin Ambongo Besungu
$942,304 Vol.
No
Pierbattista Pizzaballa
$1,471,794 Vol.
No
Pierbattista Pizzaballa
$1,471,794 Vol.
No
Matteo Zuppi
$1,361,752 Vol.
No
Matteo Zuppi
$1,361,752 Vol.
No
No new Pope in 2025
$2,254,075 Vol.
No
No new Pope in 2025
$2,254,075 Vol.
No
Mark Ouellet
$794,266 Vol.
No
Mark Ouellet
$794,266 Vol.
No
Baldassare Reina
$874,542 Vol.
No
Baldassare Reina
$874,542 Vol.
No
Malcolm Ranjith
$799,298 Vol.
No
Malcolm Ranjith
$799,298 Vol.
No
Fernando Filoni
$400,205 Vol.
No
Fernando Filoni
$400,205 Vol.
No
Rules
If no new pope is announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No new Pope in 2025".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$30,143,338
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$30,143,338 Vol.
Who will be the next Pope?
Ended
Robert Francis Prevost 100.0%
Other <1%
Luis Antonio Tagle <1%
Anders Arborelius <1%

Robert Francis Prevost
$1,415,174 Vol.
Yes

Other
$216,122 Vol.
No

Luis Antonio Tagle
$2,273,962 Vol.
No

Anders Arborelius
$677,017 Vol.
No

Jose Tolentino de Mendonca
$907,943 Vol.
No

Kurt Koch
$250,685 Vol.
No

Raymond Burke
$1,052,993 Vol.
No

Robert Sarah
$1,632,340 Vol.
No

Péter Erdő
$1,294,703 Vol.
No

Jean-Marc Aveline
$1,051,688 Vol.
No

Charles Maung Bo
$777,468 Vol.
No

Jean-Claude Hollerich
$341,609 Vol.
No

Peter Turkson
$1,838,083 Vol.
No

Pietro Parolin
$2,584,182 Vol.
No

Francis Arinze
$1,266,172 Vol.
No

Angelo Scola
$1,174,712 Vol.
No

Wim Eijk
$1,566,413 Vol.
No

Mario Grech
$923,836 Vol.
No

Fridolin Ambongo Besungu
$942,304 Vol.
No

Pierbattista Pizzaballa
$1,471,794 Vol.
No

Matteo Zuppi
$1,361,752 Vol.
No

No new Pope in 2025
$2,254,075 Vol.
No

Mark Ouellet
$794,266 Vol.
No

Baldassare Reina
$874,542 Vol.
No

Malcolm Ranjith
$799,298 Vol.
No

Fernando Filoni
$400,205 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$30,143,338
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...


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