Trader consensus on countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31 reflects limited public information and no confirmed accessions to date, with markets awaiting official diplomatic announcements or invitations from the initiating body. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, such as bilateral agreements, summits, or coalition negotiations that could signal participation from key nations. Bettors should watch for upcoming international forums, foreign policy statements, or executive actions from potential joiners like major powers in Europe, Asia, or the Middle East, as these could trigger rapid shifts in probabilities. Structural factors, including treaty ratification timelines and geopolitical alignments, add uncertainty to any pre-March 31 commitments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$2,791,622 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Brazil
5%
India
3%
Italy
2%
France
2%
Belgium
1%
Finland
1%
Spain
1%
Sweden
1%
Germany
1%
Russia
1%
Denmark
1%
Norway
1%
Netherlands
1%
Switzerland
1%
Palestine
<1%
U.K.
<1%
China
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
$2,791,622 Vol.
Brazil
$29,212 Vol.
5%
India
$45,985 Vol.
3%
Italy
$194,655 Vol.
2%
France
$62,718 Vol.
2%
Belgium
$37,564 Vol.
1%
Finland
$577,824 Vol.
1%
Spain
$100,129 Vol.
1%
Sweden
$223,581 Vol.
1%
Germany
$93,917 Vol.
1%
Russia
$273,617 Vol.
1%
Denmark
$343,289 Vol.
1%
Norway
$288,847 Vol.
1%
Netherlands
$0 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$50,062 Vol.
1%
Palestine
$43,650 Vol.
<1%
U.K.
$125,472 Vol.
<1%
China
$119,249 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$79,066 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31 reflects limited public information and no confirmed accessions to date, with markets awaiting official diplomatic announcements or invitations from the initiating body. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, such as bilateral agreements, summits, or coalition negotiations that could signal participation from key nations. Bettors should watch for upcoming international forums, foreign policy statements, or executive actions from potential joiners like major powers in Europe, Asia, or the Middle East, as these could trigger rapid shifts in probabilities. Structural factors, including treaty ratification timelines and geopolitical alignments, add uncertainty to any pre-March 31 commitments.
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volume
$2,791,622End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31 reflects limited public information and no confirmed accessions to date, with markets awaiting official diplomatic announcements or invitations from the initiating body. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, such as bilateral agreements, summits, or coalition negotiations that could signal participation from key nations. Bettors should watch for upcoming international forums, foreign policy statements, or executive actions from potential joiners like major powers in Europe, Asia, or the Middle East, as these could trigger rapid shifts in probabilities. Structural factors, including treaty ratification timelines and geopolitical alignments, add uncertainty to any pre-March 31 commitments.
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,791,622End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31 reflects limited public information and no confirmed accessions to date, with markets awaiting official diplomatic announcements or invitations from the initiating body. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, such as bilateral agreements, summits, or coalition negotiations that could signal participation from key nations. Bettors should watch for upcoming international forums, foreign policy statements, or executive actions from potential joiners like major powers in Europe, Asia, or the Middle East, as these could trigger rapid shifts in probabilities. Structural factors, including treaty ratification timelines and geopolitical alignments, add uncertainty to any pre-March 31 commitments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions