Trump's frequent Truth Social posts and rally speeches remain the primary drivers of trader sentiment for markets tracking his weekly statements, with implied probabilities reflecting his pattern of addressing election integrity, border security, and economic policy amid the 2024 primary wins. Recent catalysts include his March 27 Michigan primary victory comments criticizing Biden's policies and a March 28 post on NATO funding, boosting odds on foreign policy mentions. No major interviews are scheduled this week, but a potential April 2 Wisconsin rally could shift dynamics, as traders weigh his history of ad-libbed remarks influencing 70% of past prediction market movements on his rhetoric. Uncertainty persists given rapid news cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$56,114 Vol.
Make America Great Again
73%
Transgender
82%
Minnesota / Minneapolis
76%
Ass / Shit
42%
Epic Fury
64%
Fun
72%
Hottest
82%
Tiger
45%
Boeing
52%
Dark cloud
41%
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
36%
Like a Rock
27%
Democrat Shutdown
50%
Kaitlan Collins
24%
Egg
65%
Gay
20%
Death Tax
40%
Eat our Lunch
19%
Ethanol
46%
Ballistic Missile
69%
UK / United Kingdom
74%
Regime Change
18%
Embargo
34%
Finish the Job
48%
Khamenei
23%
Rigged / Stolen
82%
Barack Hussein Obama
78%
Peanut
22%
Cookie
45%
Crypto / Bitcoin
27%
Chuck Norris
16%
Six Seven
21%
$56,114 Vol.
Make America Great Again
73%
Transgender
82%
Minnesota / Minneapolis
76%
Ass / Shit
42%
Epic Fury
64%
Fun
72%
Hottest
82%
Tiger
45%
Boeing
52%
Dark cloud
41%
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
36%
Like a Rock
27%
Democrat Shutdown
50%
Kaitlan Collins
24%
Egg
65%
Gay
20%
Death Tax
40%
Eat our Lunch
19%
Ethanol
46%
Ballistic Missile
69%
UK / United Kingdom
74%
Regime Change
18%
Embargo
34%
Finish the Job
48%
Khamenei
23%
Rigged / Stolen
82%
Barack Hussein Obama
78%
Peanut
22%
Cookie
45%
Crypto / Bitcoin
27%
Chuck Norris
16%
Six Seven
21%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's frequent Truth Social posts and rally speeches remain the primary drivers of trader sentiment for markets tracking his weekly statements, with implied probabilities reflecting his pattern of addressing election integrity, border security, and economic policy amid the 2024 primary wins. Recent catalysts include his March 27 Michigan primary victory comments criticizing Biden's policies and a March 28 post on NATO funding, boosting odds on foreign policy mentions. No major interviews are scheduled this week, but a potential April 2 Wisconsin rally could shift dynamics, as traders weigh his history of ad-libbed remarks influencing 70% of past prediction market movements on his rhetoric. Uncertainty persists given rapid news cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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