Market icon

What will Trump say in October?

Market icon

What will Trump say in October?

$249,617 Vol.

Oct 31, 2025
Polymarket

$249,617 Vol.

Polymarket

Don't Take Tylenol

$13,934 Vol.

Yes

Pocahontas

$14,573 Vol.

No

Elon / Musk

$22,302 Vol.

Yes

Little Rocket Man

$11,572 Vol.

No

Chile / New Zealand / Albania

$7,403 Vol.

Yes

Barack Hussein Obama

$3,955 Vol.

Yes

Russia Russia Russia Hoax

$16,871 Vol.

Yes

Marxism

$7,425 Vol.

No

China Virus

$18,971 Vol.

No

Jerome Too Late Powell

$14,802 Vol.

Yes

Ebay

$3,864 Vol.

No

Greta / Thunberg

$7,554 Vol.

No

Ass

$11,722 Vol.

Yes

Tom Cruise

$6,539 Vol.

No

Drone war

$16,507 Vol.

Yes

Jeffrey Epstein

$7,303 Vol.

No

Bread

$4,693 Vol.

Yes

They Spit We Hit / They Spit And We Hit

$6,030 Vol.

No

N Word

$22,529 Vol.

No

Jesus

$10,284 Vol.

No

Bitcoin

$20,783 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$249,617
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Created At
Sep 30, 2025, 11:27 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say in October?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Don't Take Tylenol" at 100%, followed by "Elon / Musk" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say in October?" has generated $249.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say in October?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say in October?" is "Don't Take Tylenol" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elon / Musk" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say in October?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.