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Politics·Mentions

What will Trump say during the debate?

Market icon
Politics·Mentions

What will Trump say during the debate?

$934,020 Vol.

Jun 27, 2024
Polymarket

$934,020 Vol.

Polymarket

Fake News

$51,260 Vol.

No

Crypto/Bitcoin

$345,299 Vol.

No

Dementia

$51,944 Vol.

No

Crack

$38,077 Vol.

No

Felon

$18,797 Vol.

Yes

Sleepy Joe

$60,474 Vol.

No

Hunter

$29,795 Vol.

Yes

Jew

$38,781 Vol.

No

MAGA

$38,946 Vol.

Yes

Jail/Prison

$50,813 Vol.

Yes

Abortion

$36,105 Vol.

Yes

Putin

$43,156 Vol.

Yes

Rigged

$26,745 Vol.

Yes

Obama

$36,032 Vol.

Yes

Shark

$67,796 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Fake News" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrencies" counts). The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Dementia" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Dementia" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to symptoms related to memory/decision-making. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Crack" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms (such as "cracking") will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crack" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the drug (e.g. "crackhead" counts but "crackdown" doesn't). The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Felon" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (e.g. "Felony" won't count). Compound words will count as long as "Felon" is part of the compound word and and references the meaning which refers to a person who has been convicted of a crime. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Sleepy Joe" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Hunter" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market (e.g. "He is a hunter in his free time" counts). Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms (such as "hunting") will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Hunter" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Hunter Biden. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Jew" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms (such as "Jewish") will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Jew" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the religion (e.g. "Jew-lover" counts). The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word/phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word/phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "MAGA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the acronym for Make America Great Again. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Jail" or "Prison" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Jail" or "Prison" is part of the compound word. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Abortion" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Abortion" is part of the compound word. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Putin" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Putin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person (e.g. "Putin-lover" counts). The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Rigged" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (e.g. "Rig" and "Rigs" won't count). Compound words will count as long as "Rigged" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to something which has been manipulated or controlled dishonestly. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Obama" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Obama" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to any Obama (e.g. "Obamacare" counts). The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Shark" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Shark" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the sea animal. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrencies" counts).

The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

Volume
$934,020
End Date
Jun 27, 2024
Market Opened
Jun 20, 2024, 2:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrencies" counts). The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Fake News" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrencies" counts). The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Dementia" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Dementia" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to symptoms related to memory/decision-making. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Crack" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms (such as "cracking") will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crack" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the drug (e.g. "crackhead" counts but "crackdown" doesn't). The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Felon" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (e.g. "Felony" won't count). Compound words will count as long as "Felon" is part of the compound word and and references the meaning which refers to a person who has been convicted of a crime. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Sleepy Joe" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Hunter" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market (e.g. "He is a hunter in his free time" counts). Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms (such as "hunting") will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Hunter" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Hunter Biden. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Jew" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms (such as "Jewish") will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Jew" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the religion (e.g. "Jew-lover" counts). The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word/phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word/phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "MAGA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the acronym for Make America Great Again. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Jail" or "Prison" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Jail" or "Prison" is part of the compound word. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Abortion" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Abortion" is part of the compound word. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Putin" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Putin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person (e.g. "Putin-lover" counts). The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Rigged" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (e.g. "Rig" and "Rigs" won't count). Compound words will count as long as "Rigged" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to something which has been manipulated or controlled dishonestly. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Obama" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Obama" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to any Obama (e.g. "Obamacare" counts). The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Shark" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Shark" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the sea animal. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during the debate?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Felon" at 100%, followed by "Hunter" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during the debate?" has generated $934K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 20, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during the debate?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during the debate?" is "Felon" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hunter" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during the debate?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.