President-elect Donald Trump addresses House Republicans at the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) dinner on March 25, 2025, in Washington, D.C., marking his first major speech to the conference amid a narrow GOP majority of 220-215 seats in the 119th Congress. Recent developments include Trump's endorsement of incumbent Speaker Mike Johnson against challengers like Rep. Chip Roy and others seeking conservative reforms, following intraparty tensions over spending bills and leadership accountability. Traders watch for signals on House priorities such as border security, government spending cuts, and cabinet confirmations, with the Speaker election on January 3 and inauguration on January 20 looming as key catalysts that could shift dynamics based on Trump's remarks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$353,883 Vol.
Democrat 15+ times
Yes
Job 15+ times
No
Hell 8+ times
Yes
Cheat / Cheater / Cheated / Cheating 10+ times
Yes
Biden / Obama 7+ times
Yes
Sleepy Joe
Yes
Mental Institution
No
SNAP / Food Stamp
No
ID / Identification
Yes
TSA
Yes
Favored Nation
Yes
Air Force / Space Force
Yes
Too Big to Rig
No
Beautiful Woman
No
No No No
No
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Yes
Egg
No
Israel / Israeli
No
SAVE Act / SAVE America Act
Yes
Swing State
Yes
Filibuster
No
Make a Deal
Yes
Common Sense
Yes
Steve / Witkoff
Yes
-No Qualifying Event-
No
Tom / Homan
Yes
$353,883 Vol.
Democrat 15+ times
Yes
Job 15+ times
No
Hell 8+ times
Yes
Cheat / Cheater / Cheated / Cheating 10+ times
Yes
Biden / Obama 7+ times
Yes
Sleepy Joe
Yes
Mental Institution
No
SNAP / Food Stamp
No
ID / Identification
Yes
TSA
Yes
Favored Nation
Yes
Air Force / Space Force
Yes
Too Big to Rig
No
Beautiful Woman
No
No No No
No
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Yes
Egg
No
Israel / Israeli
No
SAVE Act / SAVE America Act
Yes
Swing State
Yes
Filibuster
No
Make a Deal
Yes
Common Sense
Yes
Steve / Witkoff
Yes
-No Qualifying Event-
No
Tom / Homan
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump addresses House Republicans at the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) dinner on March 25, 2025, in Washington, D.C., marking his first major speech to the conference amid a narrow GOP majority of 220-215 seats in the 119th Congress. Recent developments include Trump's endorsement of incumbent Speaker Mike Johnson against challengers like Rep. Chip Roy and others seeking conservative reforms, following intraparty tensions over spending bills and leadership accountability. Traders watch for signals on House priorities such as border security, government spending cuts, and cabinet confirmations, with the Speaker election on January 3 and inauguration on January 20 looming as key catalysts that could shift dynamics based on Trump's remarks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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