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What will Trump say during New York rally?

Market icon

What will Trump say during New York rally?

$1,446,185 Vol.

Sep 18, 2024
Polymarket

$1,446,185 Vol.

Polymarket

Border 15+ times

$85,777 Vol.

Yes

Border 25+ times

$193,109 Vol.

Yes

Comrade Kamala 3+ times

$267,989 Vol.

No

China 5+ times

$100,605 Vol.

Yes

MAGA 5+ times

$38,027 Vol.

No

Fake News 3+ times

$53,094 Vol.

Yes

Black Jobs

$41,822 Vol.

No

Secret Service

$81,171 Vol.

Yes

Deep State

$22,512 Vol.

No

Rig/Rigged

$32,402 Vol.

Yes

FBI

$48,637 Vol.

Yes

Crypto/Bitcoin

$211,906 Vol.

No

Ukraine

$33,849 Vol.

Yes

Hispanic

$13,930 Vol.

Yes

Taylor Swift

$71,193 Vol.

No

Pager

$48,977 Vol.

No

Golf

$66,316 Vol.

No

Underdog

$5,982 Vol.

No

Israel

$28,889 Vol.

Yes

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 18 in Uniondale, New York.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 15 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to belonging to a political boundary between nations.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Volume
$1,446,185
End Date
Sep 18, 2024
Market Opened
Sep 16, 2024, 3:34 PM ET
Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 18 in Uniondale, New York. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 15 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to belonging to a political boundary between nations. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during New York rally?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Border 15+ times" at 100%, followed by "Border 25+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during New York rally?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 16, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during New York rally?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during New York rally?" is "Border 15+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Border 25+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during New York rally?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.