Name: What will Trump say during inauguration speech?
Start: 2024-11-15T23:29:17.561253Z
End: 2025-01-20T12:00:00Z

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This is a market group over what terms Donald J. Trump will mention during his inauguration speech currently scheduled for January 20, 2025.

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "MAGA" or "make America great again" 4 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "MAGA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to making America great again.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

MAGA 4+ times

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "AI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Artificial Intelligence.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

AI/Artificial Intelligence

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "McDonald's" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the international fast food chain.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

McDonald's

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "America" 15 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "America" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the United States of America.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

America 15+ times

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "doge" or "Dogecoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "doge" or "dogecoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the cryptocurrency known as DOGE or Dogecoin.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Doge/Dogecoin

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Border 5+ times

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "carnage" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "carnage" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to great and usually bloody slaughter or injury.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Carnage

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "America first" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

America First

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "middle class" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Middle Class

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Elon" or "Musk"  during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Elon" or "Musk" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Elon Musk.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Elon Musk

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts).

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Crypto/Bitcoin

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "God" 4 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "god" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a superhuman being or spirit worshiped as having power over nature or human fortunes; a deity.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

God 4+ times

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "drill baby drill" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Drill Baby Drill

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "ceasefire" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "ceasefire" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the cessation of fighting between parties in a military conflict.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Ceasefire

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Kamala" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to US Vice President Kamala Harris.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Kamala

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "hell" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "hell" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a location in the afterlife where wicked souls go to be punished.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Hell 

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "TikTok" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "TikTok" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the social media app.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

TikTok

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "rig" or "rigged" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "rig" or "rigged" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to managing or conducting (something) fraudulently so as to produce a result or situation that is advantageous to a particular person.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Rig/Rigged

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate doesn't appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Illegal Immigrant/Immigration

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "J6", "Jan 6", or "January 6" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

January 6

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "trans" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "trans" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person whose gender identity does not correspond with the sex registered for them at birth (e.g. "transgender" counts).

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Trans

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "mandate" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "mandate" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the authority to carry out a policy, regarded as given by the electorate to a party or candidate that wins an election.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Mandate 3+ times

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Los Angeles" or "LA" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "LA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the city in California.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Los Angeles

Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Biden" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Biden" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Joe Biden or a member of his family.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Biden

What will Trump say during inauguration speech?

Donald Trump is scheduled to host a cabinet meeting on December 2, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about the named, scheduled event December 2, 2025 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?

Donald Trump is scheduled to appear at the 48th Annual Kennedy Center Honors on December 7, 2025 (https://abcnews.go.com/Entertainment/wireStory/trump-play-starring-role-heading-big-weekend-kennedy-128062868).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at the Kennedy Center Honors event on December 7, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "King" or "Queen" at the Kennedy Center Honors event on December 7?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump announces that he is running for a third term as US President by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Trump must definitively state his intent to run (e.g., "I am running for a third term" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice. 

Past statements such his March 30 NBC phone interview where he stated "There are methods which you could do it, as you know... A lot of people want me to do it." or his November 13, 2024, where he stated "I suspect I won’t be running again unless you say, ‘He’s so good we’ve got to figure something else out.’" would NOT qualify. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Donald Trump (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trump announce run for 3rd term?

The World Cup Draw is scheduled to take place on December 5, 2025, 12PM ET. (https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/47165954/2026-world-cup-match-schedule-plan-revealed-day-draw).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the scheduled event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If prerecorded clips are aired where Donald Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at the FIFA World Cup Draw event on December 5, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such event is aired by December 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source will be video of the event. Only the official English-language FIFA stream will count. The event will be streamed on the FIFA YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@fifa/streams).

Will Trump say "Peace" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit Florida in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump golfs on over 25% of days between January 20 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to https://trumpgolftrack.com as of January 2, 2026, 12:00 PM. However, definitive photo or video evidence confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to supplement the tally if the trumpgolftrack.com tally is incomplete. 

 


Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in multilateral events with the presidents of Rwanda and the Congo on December 4, 2025 (https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/congo-rwanda-presidents-sign-peace-deal-washington-next-week-sources-say-2025-11-28/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring both Donald Trump and the President of the Congo or the President of Rwanda  (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). All such scheduled events featuring Donald Trump and either leader on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events, or which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "31 years" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits North Korea between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly claims that any of the moon landings were faked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The claim must come directly from Trump via a verified social media account, official public statement, or during a recorded interview, speech, or rally. Indirect remarks, jokes, or quotes taken out of context will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used to confirm the legitimacy of such statements.

Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "No more questions" in December?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between November 19, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".  

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Ali Khamenei speak directly to one another between June 26, 7:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any conversation that occurs directly between Donald Trump and Ali Khamenei will qualify, regardless of whether it is over the phone, videocall, or in person. The conversation must be voice-based, not text-based.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the governments of Iran and the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025? 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues a presidential veto of any bill by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official congressional records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump announce their intention to divorce between December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by December 31, 2025 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump , and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Trump divorce in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" this week? (December 1 - 7)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that Donald Trump has visited visited Little Saint James by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place Trump on the island.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?

On September 1, 2025, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the Trump administration may declare a national housing emergency this fall to address high housing costs.(see: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/bessent-says-trump-administration-will-tackle-high-housing-costs-with-new-2025-09-01/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) primarily addressing housing by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.

Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of $TRUMP (https://solscan.io/token/6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN), either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy $TRUMP in 2025?

 The inaugural FIFA Peace Prize is scheduled to be awarded on December 5, 2025, during the final draw for the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Washington, D.C. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump wins the 2025 FIFA Peace Prize – Football Unites the World. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If Donald Trump wins the prize along with another person or entity, this market will resolve to “Yes.”.

If no FIFA Peace Prize is awarded by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Washington Commanders, or the ownership/development entity responsible for the team’s planned new stadium in Washington, D.C., officially announce and agree that the stadium will be named after Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

A qualifying announcement must:
- Be made publicly and on the record by the Commanders organization or by the entity that owns or controls the new stadium (e.g., via press release, official statement, or filing).
- Clearly state that the new stadium will bear Trump’s name (for example, “Trump Stadium” or “Donald J. Trump Field”).
- Reflect a finalized agreement or naming-rights deal, not a proposal, negotiation, or expression of intent.

If any other official naming-rights deal is announced for the new stadium prior to June 30, 2026 — including a corporate sponsorship or another individual’s name — this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution sources will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Nicholas J. Fuentes personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling Nicholas J. Fuentes weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “Nick isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to Nicholas J. Fuentes’s professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “Nick isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if Nicholas J. Fuentes is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

Will Trump disparage Nick Fuentes by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any executive order by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that aims to eliminate or dismantle the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trump executive order ending NASA in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky are photographed or videotaped together, in the same frame, between August 6, 5:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing.

The resolution source for this market will be the images or video of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky together.

What will Trump say during inauguration speech?

Kamala
$480,558 Vol.
No

America First
$153,415 Vol.
Yes

McDonald's
$381,299 Vol.
No

God 4+ times
$206,042 Vol.
Yes

Crypto/Bitcoin
$4,988,602 Vol.
No

Doge/Dogecoin
$866,745 Vol.
No

Rig/Rigged
$137,331 Vol.
No

Illegal Immigrant/Immigration
$507,423 Vol.
No

Trans
$161,726 Vol.
No

Drill Baby Drill
$273,803 Vol.
Yes

Carnage
$24,265 Vol.
No

Middle Class
$60,466 Vol.
No

MAGA 4+ times
$245,526 Vol.
No

Border 5+ times
$126,939 Vol.
No

America 15+ times
$266,821 Vol.
Yes

Elon Musk
$386,284 Vol.
No

Biden
$182,811 Vol.
Yes

Ceasefire
$81,922 Vol.
No

Hell
$15,470 Vol.
No

January 6
$121,562 Vol.
No

Mandate 3+ times
$26,559 Vol.
Yes

Los Angeles
$155,005 Vol.
Yes

AI/Artificial Intelligence
$85,913 Vol.
No

TikTok
$393,052 Vol.
No

Market Context

What will Trump say during inauguration speech?

Rules

What will Trump say during inauguration speech?

Market Context

What will Trump say during inauguration speech?

About

Related

What will Trump say during inauguration speech?

Kamala$480,558 Vol.Nocircle xmark

America First$153,415 Vol.Yescircle check

McDonald's$381,299 Vol.Nocircle xmark

God 4+ times$206,042 Vol.Yescircle check

Crypto/Bitcoin$4,988,602 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Doge/Dogecoin$866,745 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Rig/Rigged$137,331 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Illegal Immigrant/Immigration$507,423 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Trans$161,726 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Drill Baby Drill$273,803 Vol.Yescircle check

Carnage$24,265 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Middle Class$60,466 Vol.Nocircle xmark

MAGA 4+ times$245,526 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Border 5+ times$126,939 Vol.Nocircle xmark

America 15+ times$266,821 Vol.Yescircle check

Elon Musk$386,284 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Biden$182,811 Vol.Yescircle check

Ceasefire$81,922 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Hell $15,470 Vol.Nocircle xmark

January 6$121,562 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Mandate 3+ times$26,559 Vol.Yescircle check

Los Angeles$155,005 Vol.Yescircle check

AI/Artificial Intelligence$85,913 Vol.Nocircle xmark

TikTok$393,052 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

What will Trump say during inauguration speech?

Rules

What will Trump say during inauguration speech?

Market Context

What will Trump say during inauguration speech?

About

Related

Kamala
$480,558 Vol.
No

America First
$153,415 Vol.
Yes

McDonald's
$381,299 Vol.
No

God 4+ times
$206,042 Vol.
Yes

Crypto/Bitcoin
$4,988,602 Vol.
No

Doge/Dogecoin
$866,745 Vol.
No

Rig/Rigged
$137,331 Vol.
No

Illegal Immigrant/Immigration
$507,423 Vol.
No

Trans
$161,726 Vol.
No

Drill Baby Drill
$273,803 Vol.
Yes

Carnage
$24,265 Vol.
No

Middle Class
$60,466 Vol.
No

MAGA 4+ times
$245,526 Vol.
No

Border 5+ times
$126,939 Vol.
No

America 15+ times
$266,821 Vol.
Yes

Elon Musk
$386,284 Vol.
No

Biden
$182,811 Vol.
Yes

Ceasefire
$81,922 Vol.
No

Hell
$15,470 Vol.
No

January 6
$121,562 Vol.
No

Mandate 3+ times
$26,559 Vol.
Yes

Los Angeles
$155,005 Vol.
Yes

AI/Artificial Intelligence
$85,913 Vol.
No

TikTok
$393,052 Vol.
No