Market icon
Politics·Mentions

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

Market icon
Politics·Mentions

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

Apr 5

Apr 5

$21,112 Vol.

Apr 5, 2026
Polymarket

$21,112 Vol.

Polymarket

Keir / Starmer

$43 Vol.

7%

Epic Fury

$280 Vol.

32%

Gay

$507 Vol.

14%

Panican

$145 Vol.

16%

Palestine / Palestinian

$109 Vol.

12%

Memphis

$94 Vol.

11%

Statue

$141 Vol.

16%

Kuwait

$69 Vol.

47%

Boeing

$53 Vol.

11%

Free Tina Peters

$220 Vol.

46%

Barack Hussein Obama

$173 Vol.

30%

Sleepy Joe Biden

$321 Vol.

24%

Peace Through Strength

$201 Vol.

35%

Bully of the Middle East

$20 Vol.

18%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$83 Vol.

11%

Pahlavi

$156 Vol.

3%

Elon / Musk

$172 Vol.

14%

Terrorist

$1,280 Vol.

84%

Congresswoman

$40 Vol.

55%

Happy Easter

$2,215 Vol.

93%

Easter Egg

$342 Vol.

25%

Movie Star

$211 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Trader consensus prices "Terrorist" at 96% and "Happy Easter" at 87% as the most likely phrases in President Trump's Truth Social posts from March 30 to April 5, driven by his frequent updates on Operation Epic Fury military strikes against Iranian infrastructure, including recent bridge collapses and threats to power plants, where he routinely labels adversaries as terrorists. Easter Sunday on April 5, the resolution deadline, boosts holiday greeting odds per historical patterns. Elevated pricing on "Congresswoman" (92%) and "Free Tina Peters" (87%) stems from domestic legal and election commentary, like his March 30 court rant. Late-week Iran negotiations or Easter posts could affirm leaders, though unmentioned terms face steep barriers absent surprises.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.

Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)

Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.

Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.

Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump

Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Volume
$21,112
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Trader consensus prices "Terrorist" at 96% and "Happy Easter" at 87% as the most likely phrases in President Trump's Truth Social posts from March 30 to April 5, driven by his frequent updates on Operation Epic Fury military strikes against Iranian infrastructure, including recent bridge collapses and threats to power plants, where he routinely labels adversaries as terrorists. Easter Sunday on April 5, the resolution deadline, boosts holiday greeting odds per historical patterns. Elevated pricing on "Congresswoman" (92%) and "Free Tina Peters" (87%) stems from domestic legal and election commentary, like his March 30 court rant. Late-week Iran negotiations or Easter posts could affirm leaders, though unmentioned terms face steep barriers absent surprises.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.

Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)

Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.

Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.

Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump

Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Volume
$21,112
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ceasefire" at 100%, followed by "Trump derangement / Trump deranged" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)" has generated $21.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)" is "Ceasefire" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trump derangement / Trump deranged" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.