Trump's prolific Truth Social posting habits, averaging multiple daily messages on legal battles and campaign updates, anchor trader consensus favoring activity during March 23-29, with low implied odds on silence. Recent developments include sharp rebukes of Judge Merchan ahead of his April hush money trial and boasts over Republican primary sweeps, sustaining momentum post-Super Tuesday. No indications of a posting hiatus exist, while potential catalysts like Georgia election interference hearing updates or Arizona ballot deadlines could spur content. Traders weigh this against historical consistency, where Trump rarely goes quiet amid scrutiny.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$86,917 Vol.
NATO
73%
Nasty
22%
Boeing
34%
Ballroom
49%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
32%
Panican
52%
Free Tina Peters
39%
Epic Fury
49%
Bully of the Middle East
31%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
55%
Excursion
25%
Evil Empire
39%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
44%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
47%
Democrat Shutdown
50%
Bomb / Bomber
54%
Impeach / Impeachment
35%
Terrorist
61%
Spain
12%
$86,917 Vol.
NATO
73%
Nasty
22%
Boeing
34%
Ballroom
49%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
32%
Panican
52%
Free Tina Peters
39%
Epic Fury
49%
Bully of the Middle East
31%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
55%
Excursion
25%
Evil Empire
39%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
44%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
47%
Democrat Shutdown
50%
Bomb / Bomber
54%
Impeach / Impeachment
35%
Terrorist
61%
Spain
12%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's prolific Truth Social posting habits, averaging multiple daily messages on legal battles and campaign updates, anchor trader consensus favoring activity during March 23-29, with low implied odds on silence. Recent developments include sharp rebukes of Judge Merchan ahead of his April hush money trial and boasts over Republican primary sweeps, sustaining momentum post-Super Tuesday. No indications of a posting hiatus exist, while potential catalysts like Georgia election interference hearing updates or Arizona ballot deadlines could spur content. Traders weigh this against historical consistency, where Trump rarely goes quiet amid scrutiny.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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