$715,522 Vol.
Afghanistan
Yes
Arizona
No
California
Yes
Canada
No
Chicago
No
China
No
Colombia
No
Congo
Yes
Cuba
No
El Salvador
No
Europe / European
Yes
Georgia
No
Greenland
No
Gulf of America
No
India
Yes
Iran
Yes
Japan
No
Los Angeles
Yes
Memphis
Yes
Mexico
Yes
Michigan
Yes
Minnesota
Yes
Mount McKinley
No
New Orleans
Yes
New York
Yes
Nigeria
No
North Carolina
Yes
Panama
No
Pennsylvania
Yes
Portland
No
Russia
Yes
Ukraine
Yes
Washington DC / DC
Yes
Western Hemisphere
Yes
White House
Yes
Syria
No
Texas
Yes
Somalia
No
South America / Latin America
No
Taiwan
No
Venezuela
Yes
West Virginia
Yes
Norway
No
Switzerland
No
Ethiopia
Yes
Iowa
Yes
$715,522 Vol.
Afghanistan
Yes
Arizona
No
California
Yes
Canada
No
Chicago
No
China
No
Colombia
No
Congo
Yes
Cuba
No
El Salvador
No
Europe / European
Yes
Georgia
No
Greenland
No
Gulf of America
No
India
Yes
Iran
Yes
Japan
No
Los Angeles
Yes
Memphis
Yes
Mexico
Yes
Michigan
Yes
Minnesota
Yes
Mount McKinley
No
New Orleans
Yes
New York
Yes
Nigeria
No
North Carolina
Yes
Panama
No
Pennsylvania
Yes
Portland
No
Russia
Yes
Ukraine
Yes
Washington DC / DC
Yes
Western Hemisphere
Yes
White House
Yes
Syria
No
Texas
Yes
Somalia
No
South America / Latin America
No
Taiwan
No
Venezuela
Yes
West Virginia
Yes
Norway
No
Switzerland
No
Ethiopia
Yes
Iowa
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jan 20, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes

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