Market icon

What places will Trump mention during the State of the Union address?

Market icon

What places will Trump mention during the State of the Union address?

$715,522 Vol.

Feb 24, 2026
Polymarket

$715,522 Vol.

Polymarket

Afghanistan

$10,663 Vol.

Yes

Arizona

$5,921 Vol.

No

California

$20,491 Vol.

Yes

Canada

$19,226 Vol.

No

Chicago

$6,890 Vol.

No

China

$71,229 Vol.

No

Colombia

$8,885 Vol.

No

Congo

$16,702 Vol.

Yes

Cuba

$16,480 Vol.

No

El Salvador

$7,646 Vol.

No

Europe / European

$11,715 Vol.

Yes

Georgia

$13,601 Vol.

No

Greenland

$27,790 Vol.

No

Gulf of America

$20,772 Vol.

No

India

$13,400 Vol.

Yes

Iran

$46,692 Vol.

Yes

Japan

$20,567 Vol.

No

Los Angeles

$10,720 Vol.

Yes

Memphis

$16,238 Vol.

Yes

Mexico

$24,554 Vol.

Yes

Michigan

$12,972 Vol.

Yes

Minnesota

$26,763 Vol.

Yes

Mount McKinley

$10,205 Vol.

No

New Orleans

$11,074 Vol.

Yes

New York

$6,764 Vol.

Yes

Nigeria

$2,580 Vol.

No

North Carolina

$18,768 Vol.

Yes

Panama

$8,423 Vol.

No

Pennsylvania

$17,680 Vol.

Yes

Portland

$6,836 Vol.

No

Russia

$17,291 Vol.

Yes

Ukraine

$34,771 Vol.

Yes

Washington DC / DC

$7,178 Vol.

Yes

Western Hemisphere

$23,912 Vol.

Yes

White House

$15,424 Vol.

Yes

Syria

$4,040 Vol.

No

Texas

$6,113 Vol.

Yes

Somalia

$32,964 Vol.

No

South America / Latin America

$5,496 Vol.

No

Taiwan

$10,272 Vol.

No

Venezuela

$22,223 Vol.

Yes

West Virginia

$876 Vol.

Yes

Norway

$8,945 Vol.

No

Switzerland

$1,436 Vol.

No

Ethiopia

$9,503 Vol.

Yes

Iowa

$2,829 Vol.

Yes

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$715,522
End Date
Feb 24, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 20, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What places will Trump mention during the State of the Union address?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Afghanistan" at 100%, followed by "California" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What places will Trump mention during the State of the Union address?" has generated $715.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What places will Trump mention during the State of the Union address?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What places will Trump mention during the State of the Union address?" is "Afghanistan" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "California" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What places will Trump mention during the State of the Union address?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.