Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

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US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal before July?

$56,330 Vol.

>99% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Saudi nuclear research, nuclear weapons, and/or nuclear energy cooperation, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Saudi Arabia between May 10 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and Saudi Arabia as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$56,330
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
May 10, 2025, 4:56 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$56,330 Vol.

Market icon

US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal before July?

>99% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Saudi nuclear research, nuclear weapons, and/or nuclear energy cooperation, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Saudi Arabia between May 10 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and Saudi Arabia as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$56,330
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
May 10, 2025, 4:56 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

shield

Beware of external links.