Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?

$49,269 Vol.

50% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US president or the US secretary of state officially call for Israel to establish a ceasefire between themselves and Hamas in Gaza between December 12, 2023 and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, calls for a humanitarian pause will not be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US president or US secretary of state and/or their official representatives.
Volume
$49,269
End Date
Jan 31, 2024
Created At
Dec 13, 2023, 8:17 PM UTC

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$49,269 Vol.

Market icon

US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?

50% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US president or the US secretary of state officially call for Israel to establish a ceasefire between themselves and Hamas in Gaza between December 12, 2023 and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, calls for a humanitarian pause will not be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US president or US secretary of state and/or their official representatives.
Volume
$49,269
End Date
Jan 31, 2024
Created At
Dec 13, 2023, 8:17 PM UTC

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.