Texas’s 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 as part of mid-decade redistricting that shifted its composition toward Republican-leaning voters, producing nonpartisan race ratings of Solid Republican. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March 2026 contest and subsequent runoff withdrawal by rival Ryan Binkley, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged from his party’s primary. These steps have left the general-election matchup on November 3, 2026, with limited Democratic path to victory under current district lines. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices therefore assigns the Republican nominee a clear advantage, consistent with the district’s post-redistricting partisan baseline and the absence of major intervening developments since the primaries concluded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,437 거래량
$26,437 거래량
2026.11.04
공화당
66%
민주당
26%
$26,437 거래량
$26,437 거래량
2026.11.04
공화당
$26,030 거래량
66%
민주당
$408 거래량
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 as part of mid-decade redistricting that shifted its composition toward Republican-leaning voters, producing nonpartisan race ratings of Solid Republican. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March 2026 contest and subsequent runoff withdrawal by rival Ryan Binkley, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged from his party’s primary. These steps have left the general-election matchup on November 3, 2026, with limited Democratic path to victory under current district lines. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices therefore assigns the Republican nominee a clear advantage, consistent with the district’s post-redistricting partisan baseline and the absence of major intervening developments since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
거래량
$26,437종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 as part of mid-decade redistricting that shifted its composition toward Republican-leaning voters, producing nonpartisan race ratings of Solid Republican. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March 2026 contest and subsequent runoff withdrawal by rival Ryan Binkley, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged from his party’s primary. These steps have left the general-election matchup on November 3, 2026, with limited Democratic path to victory under current district lines. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices therefore assigns the Republican nominee a clear advantage, consistent with the district’s post-redistricting partisan baseline and the absence of major intervening developments since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$26,437종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas’s 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 as part of mid-decade redistricting that shifted its composition toward Republican-leaning voters, producing nonpartisan race ratings of Solid Republican. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March 2026 contest and subsequent runoff withdrawal by rival Ryan Binkley, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged from his party’s primary. These steps have left the general-election matchup on November 3, 2026, with limited Democratic path to victory under current district lines. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices therefore assigns the Republican nominee a clear advantage, consistent with the district’s post-redistricting partisan baseline and the absence of major intervening developments since the primaries concluded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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