Market icon

Trump trade deal before July?

$57,285 Vol.

>99% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and another country, or a multi-country entity such as the European Union, between June 24 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$57,285
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
Jun 25, 2025, 2:33 AM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Beware of external links.

$57,285 Vol.

Market icon

Trump trade deal before July?

>99% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and another country, or a multi-country entity such as the European Union, between June 24 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$57,285
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
Jun 25, 2025, 2:33 AM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

shield

Beware of external links.