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Trump orders U.S. prisoners to El Salvador before April?

$119,116 Vol.

<1% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action, or if the U.S. federal government otherwise officially enacts a policy of transferring U.S. citizens who are in the custody of U.S. law enforcement or correctional authorities to El Salvador for the purpose of incarceration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions (i.e. This market may resolve yes even if no incarcerated U.S. citizens are actually transferred to El Slavador).

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$119,116
End Date
Mar 31, 2025
Created At
Feb 4, 2025, 2:50 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Beware of external links.

$119,116 Vol.

Market icon

Trump orders U.S. prisoners to El Salvador before April?

<1% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action, or if the U.S. federal government otherwise officially enacts a policy of transferring U.S. citizens who are in the custody of U.S. law enforcement or correctional authorities to El Salvador for the purpose of incarceration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions (i.e. This market may resolve yes even if no incarcerated U.S. citizens are actually transferred to El Slavador).

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$119,116
End Date
Mar 31, 2025
Created At
Feb 4, 2025, 2:50 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.