President Trump's approval rating has plunged to second-term lows around 36% in recent Reuters/Ipsos and other polls, down from 40% last week, amid widespread backlash to the escalating Iran war, surging fuel prices, and a protracted government shutdown over spending disputes. Aggregators like Nate Silver's tracker and RealClearPolitics show net disapproval hitting -17% to -20%, with fresh data as of March 30 confirming the slide among Latino voters, young men, and independents due to economic pressures. Traders price an 81% chance of further decline this week, reflecting momentum from these catalysts despite solid MAGA support, ahead of midterm polling shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedUp
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Apr 4, 2026
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Apr 4, 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on March 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 27, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.President Trump's approval rating has plunged to second-term lows around 36% in recent Reuters/Ipsos and other polls, down from 40% last week, amid widespread backlash to the escalating Iran war, surging fuel prices, and a protracted government shutdown over spending disputes. Aggregators like Nate Silver's tracker and RealClearPolitics show net disapproval hitting -17% to -20%, with fresh data as of March 30 confirming the slide among Latino voters, young men, and independents due to economic pressures. Traders price an 81% chance of further decline this week, reflecting momentum from these catalysts despite solid MAGA support, ahead of midterm polling shifts.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on March 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 27, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 27, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Volume
$5,223End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 11:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on March 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 27, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.President Trump's approval rating has plunged to second-term lows around 36% in recent Reuters/Ipsos and other polls, down from 40% last week, amid widespread backlash to the escalating Iran war, surging fuel prices, and a protracted government shutdown over spending disputes. Aggregators like Nate Silver's tracker and RealClearPolitics show net disapproval hitting -17% to -20%, with fresh data as of March 30 confirming the slide among Latino voters, young men, and independents due to economic pressures. Traders price an 81% chance of further decline this week, reflecting momentum from these catalysts despite solid MAGA support, ahead of midterm polling shifts.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on March 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 27, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 27, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$5,223End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 11:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has plunged to second-term lows around 36% in recent Reuters/Ipsos and other polls, down from 40% last week, amid widespread backlash to the escalating Iran war, surging fuel prices, and a protracted government shutdown over spending disputes. Aggregators like Nate Silver's tracker and RealClearPolitics show net disapproval hitting -17% to -20%, with fresh data as of March 30 confirming the slide among Latino voters, young men, and independents due to economic pressures. Traders price an 81% chance of further decline this week, reflecting momentum from these catalysts despite solid MAGA support, ahead of midterm polling shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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