Trump approval rating on July 4?
$158,768 Vol.
44.5–44.9% 100.0%
<44.5% <1%
45.0–45.4% <1%
45.5–45.9% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<44.5%
$18,101 Vol.
No
<44.5%
$18,101 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$49,033 Vol.
Yes
44.5–44.9%
$49,033 Vol.
Yes
45.0–45.4%
$21,778 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$21,778 Vol.
No
45.5–45.9%
$11,764 Vol.
No
45.5–45.9%
$11,764 Vol.
No
46.0–46.4%
$10,689 Vol.
No
46.0–46.4%
$10,689 Vol.
No
≥46.5%
$47,403 Vol.
No
≥46.5%
$47,403 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 4, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Jun 27, 2025, 5:26 PM UTC
Volume
$158,768End Date
Jul 4, 2025Created At
Jun 27, 2025, 5:26 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$158,768 Vol.
Trump approval rating on July 4?
44.5–44.9% 100.0%
<44.5% <1%
45.0–45.4% <1%
45.5–45.9% <1%
<44.5%
$18,101 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$49,033 Vol.
Yes
45.0–45.4%
$21,778 Vol.
No
45.5–45.9%
$11,764 Vol.
No
46.0–46.4%
$10,689 Vol.
No
≥46.5%
$47,403 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$158,768End Date
Jul 4, 2025Created At
Jun 27, 2025, 5:26 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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