Market icon

Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$98,051 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time between August 4, 2024, and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Starmer has remained Prime Minister for the entire duration without interruption.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the Government of the United Kingdom (e.g. https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/prime-minister, https://twitter.com/10DowningStreet etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$98,051
End Date
Sep 30, 2024
Created At
Aug 5, 2024, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time between August 4, 2024, and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Starmer has remained Prime Minister for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the Government of the United Kingdom (e.g. https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/prime-minister, https://twitter.com/10DowningStreet etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?" has generated $98.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$98,051 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time between August 4, 2024, and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Starmer has remained Prime Minister for the entire duration without interruption.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the Government of the United Kingdom (e.g. https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/prime-minister, https://twitter.com/10DowningStreet etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$98,051
End Date
Sep 30, 2024
Created At
Aug 5, 2024, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time between August 4, 2024, and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Starmer has remained Prime Minister for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the Government of the United Kingdom (e.g. https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/prime-minister, https://twitter.com/10DowningStreet etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?" has generated $98.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.