Market icon

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

$88,059 Vol.

No IPO before 2028 28%

900B–1T 21%

1T+ 18%

800B–900B 13%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$88,059
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Created At
Dec 6, 2025, 1:24 AM
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$88,059 Vol.

Market icon

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before 2028 28%

900B–1T 21%

1T+ 18%

800B–900B 13%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

<500B

$10,805 Vol.

2%

500B–600B

$8,617 Vol.

3%

600B–700B

$8,124 Vol.

7%

700B–800B

$6,796 Vol.

7%

800B–900B

$10,117 Vol.

13%

900B–1T

$13,488 Vol.

21%

1T+

$15,800 Vol.

18%

No IPO before 2028

$14,312 Vol.

28%

About

Volume
$88,059
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Created At
Dec 6, 2025, 1:24 AM