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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 38.3%

Marco Rubio 26.1%

Ron DeSantis 2.5%

Donald Trump 1.8%

Polymarket

$381,156,967 Vol.

J.D. Vance 38.3%

Marco Rubio 26.1%

Ron DeSantis 2.5%

Donald Trump 1.8%

Polymarket

$381,156,967 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$5,338,169 Vol.

38%

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Marco Rubio

$5,449,825 Vol.

26%

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Ron DeSantis

$5,418,117 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump

$5,366,977 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$1,992,913 Vol.

2%

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Tucker Carlson

$3,269,185 Vol.

2%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$7,991,109 Vol.

1%

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Glenn Youngkin

$4,424,319 Vol.

1%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$3,895,271 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$10,965,802 Vol.

1%

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Ted Cruz

$7,787,098 Vol.

1%

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Rand Paul

$14,501,174 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$13,881,574 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$2,826,253 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$4,010,781 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$19,699,262 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$14,893,323 Vol.

1%

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Brian Kemp

$8,331,814 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$5,241,939 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$20,726,143 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$22,812,679 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$18,737,378 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$21,526,393 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$2,211,612 Vol.

1%

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Josh Hawley

$12,190,050 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$9,436,058 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$17,676,034 Vol.

1%

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Elise Stefanik

$18,138,382 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$6,480,152 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$24,447,342 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$21,957,060 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$27,593,335 Vol.

1%

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Steve Bannon

$11,939,441 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$381,156,967
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 38%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $381.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.