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Over 600 US flights cancelled on March 25?

Market icon

Over 600 US flights cancelled on March 25?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than the specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".A powerful nor'easter storm slammed the US Northeast on March 25, triggering over 1,700 flight cancellations nationwide according to FlightAware data—more than triple the 600 threshold for a "Yes" resolution. Major hubs like Boston Logan (over 400 cancels), Newark, and Philadelphia saw mass groundings amid blizzard warnings, heavy snow, and winds gusting over 50 mph, with airlines issuing widespread waivers. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects this locked-in outcome from real-time tracking, as cancellations peaked early and no reversals are expected. Realistic upsets are negligible barring an unprecedented data recount, though markets acknowledge minor historical variances in final tallies.

A powerful nor'easter storm slammed the US Northeast on March 25, triggering over 1,700 flight cancellations nationwide according to FlightAware data—more than triple the 600 threshold for a "Yes" resolution. Major hubs like Boston Logan (over 400 cancels), Newark, and Philadelphia saw mass groundings amid blizzard warnings, heavy snow, and winds gusting over 50 mph, with airlines issuing widespread waivers. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects this locked-in outcome from real-time tracking, as cancellations peaked early and no reversals are expected. Realistic upsets are negligible barring an unprecedented data recount, though markets acknowledge minor historical variances in final tallies.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than the specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".A powerful nor'easter storm slammed the US Northeast on March 25, triggering over 1,700 flight cancellations nationwide according to FlightAware data—more than triple the 600 threshold for a "Yes" resolution. Major hubs like Boston Logan (over 400 cancels), Newark, and Philadelphia saw mass groundings amid blizzard warnings, heavy snow, and winds gusting over 50 mph, with airlines issuing widespread waivers. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects this locked-in outcome from real-time tracking, as cancellations peaked early and no reversals are expected. Realistic upsets are negligible barring an unprecedented data recount, though markets acknowledge minor historical variances in final tallies.

A powerful nor'easter storm slammed the US Northeast on March 25, triggering over 1,700 flight cancellations nationwide according to FlightAware data—more than triple the 600 threshold for a "Yes" resolution. Major hubs like Boston Logan (over 400 cancels), Newark, and Philadelphia saw mass groundings amid blizzard warnings, heavy snow, and winds gusting over 50 mph, with airlines issuing widespread waivers. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects this locked-in outcome from real-time tracking, as cancellations peaked early and no reversals are expected. Realistic upsets are negligible barring an unprecedented data recount, though markets acknowledge minor historical variances in final tallies.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Over 600 US flights cancelled on March 25?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Over 600 US flights cancelled on March 25?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Over 600 US flights cancelled on March 25?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Over 600 US flights cancelled on March 25?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Over 600 US flights cancelled on March 25?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.