Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

$8,380,671 Vol.

One Battle After Another 81%

Hamnet 10.3%

Sinners 4.5%

Marty Supreme 3.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,380,671
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
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Beware of external links.

$8,380,671 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

One Battle After Another 81%

Hamnet 10.3%

Sinners 4.5%

Marty Supreme 3.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$418,421 Vol.

81%

Hamnet

$317,059 Vol.

10%

Sinners

$188,620 Vol.

5%

Marty Supreme

$268,366 Vol.

3%

Bugonia

$378,520 Vol.

1%

Sentimental Value

$222,860 Vol.

<1%

It Was Just an Accident

$735,214 Vol.

<1%

No Other Choice

$786,012 Vol.

<1%

Frankenstein

$465,021 Vol.

<1%

Jay Kelly

$921,255 Vol.

<1%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$233,770 Vol.

<1%

Wicked: For Good

$602,726 Vol.

<1%

A House of Dynamite

$1,042,189 Vol.

<1%

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

$740,943 Vol.

<1%

Rental Family

$1,059,694 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$8,380,671
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
shield

Beware of external links.