Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

$873,318 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$873,318
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$873,318 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$204,980 Vol.

99%

Sinners

$28,657 Vol.

99%

Hamnet

$39,839 Vol.

99%

Marty Supreme

$39,105 Vol.

99%

Sentimental Value

$10,940 Vol.

97%

Frankenstein

$45,644 Vol.

96%

It Was Just an Accident

$33,417 Vol.

92%

Train Dreams

$29,766 Vol.

74%

Bugonia

$36,783 Vol.

64%

Wicked: For Good

$53,992 Vol.

37%

No Other Choice

$40,043 Vol.

15%

F1

$16,037 Vol.

14%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$37,488 Vol.

13%

Jay Kelly

$44,404 Vol.

13%

Weapons

$23,140 Vol.

8%

Nouvelle Vague

$5,608 Vol.

5%

The Testament of Ann Lee

$25,148 Vol.

5%

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$3,585 Vol.

3%

Rental Family

$31,677 Vol.

3%

Sorry Baby

$1,729 Vol.

3%

A House of Dynamite

$16,903 Vol.

2%

Anemone

$23,132 Vol.

2%

The Smashing Machine

$24,207 Vol.

2%

Highest 2 Lowest

$6,386 Vol.

2%

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$7,102 Vol.

1%

Die My Love

$6,123 Vol.

1%

The Life of Chuck

$27,520 Vol.

1%

The Lost Bus

$1,890 Vol.

1%

Thunderbolts

$4,344 Vol.

<1%

After the Hunt

$938 Vol.

<1%

Novocaine

$1,019 Vol.

<1%

Warfare

$1,323 Vol.

<1%

Sound of Falling

$1,586 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$873,318
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.