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Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

$1,147,470 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,147,470
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$1,147,470 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$244,846 Vol.

99%

Hamnet

$98,080 Vol.

99%

Sinners

$31,277 Vol.

99%

Marty Supreme

$40,182 Vol.

98%

Frankenstein

$46,752 Vol.

97%

Sentimental Value

$14,324 Vol.

95%

It Was Just an Accident

$36,581 Vol.

85%

Bugonia

$46,915 Vol.

85%

Train Dreams

$44,388 Vol.

81%

F1

$29,252 Vol.

22%

Weapons

$27,807 Vol.

13%

No Other Choice

$42,855 Vol.

8%

Jay Kelly

$55,698 Vol.

6%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$39,459 Vol.

6%

Wicked: For Good

$73,361 Vol.

4%

Sorry Baby

$2,897 Vol.

4%

A House of Dynamite

$17,435 Vol.

3%

The Testament of Ann Lee

$25,432 Vol.

3%

Nouvelle Vague

$6,223 Vol.

3%

Rental Family

$32,185 Vol.

2%

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$4,293 Vol.

2%

Die My Love

$22,400 Vol.

2%

Thunderbolts

$20,571 Vol.

1%

The Smashing Machine

$24,857 Vol.

1%

Anemone

$39,205 Vol.

1%

The Lost Bus

$16,647 Vol.

1%

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$7,495 Vol.

1%

The Life of Chuck

$28,171 Vol.

1%

Highest 2 Lowest

$22,521 Vol.

1%

After the Hunt

$1,000 Vol.

<1%

Warfare

$1,645 Vol.

<1%

Novocaine

$1,121 Vol.

<1%

Sound of Falling

$1,596 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$1,147,470
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.