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icon for OK-01 Republican Primary Winner
選挙·共和党予備選挙

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for OK-01 Republican Primary Winner
選挙·共和党予備選挙

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner

Mark Tedford 99.4%

Jackson Lahmeyer 1.3%

Jed Cochran <1%

Nancy Dyson <1%

Polymarket

$149,723 Vol.

Mark Tedford 99.4%

Jackson Lahmeyer 1.3%

Jed Cochran <1%

Nancy Dyson <1%

Polymarket

$149,723 Vol.

Mark Tedford

$43,244 Vol.

99%

Jackson Lahmeyer

$61,829 Vol.

1%

Jed Cochran

$5,771 Vol.

<1%

Nancy Dyson

$2,893 Vol.

<1%

Paul Royse

$2,034 Vol.

<1%

Kelly B. Walsh

$2,126 Vol.

<1%

Nathan Butterfield

$7,603 Vol.

<1%

Kim David

$6,735 Vol.

<1%

Courtney Gill

$2,031 Vol.

<1%

Dan Rooney

$9,853 Vol.

<1%

Jackson Stallings

$2,555 Vol.

<1%

Todd Woods

$3,048 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 16 primary with roughly 32% of the vote and advancing to an August runoff that was later canceled.** In a crowded field of more than ten candidates, Tedford outperformed Trump-endorsed pastor Jackson Lahmeyer (approximately 26%) and the rest of the field, including businessman Nathan Butterfield. Lahmeyer subsequently withdrew, prompting Trump to shift his endorsement to Tedford. This combination of primary results, withdrawal, and high-profile backing has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that Tedford is the nominee. The market prices reflect the effective resolution of the contest in Tedford’s favor. A reversal would require an extraordinary development such as Lahmeyer reversing his withdrawal before any formal certification or an unforeseen procedural challenge—both considered highly remote given the timeline and current dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$149,723
終了日
2026/06/16
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 16 primary with roughly 32% of the vote and advancing to an August runoff that was later canceled.** In a crowded field of more than ten candidates, Tedford outperformed Trump-endorsed pastor Jackson Lahmeyer (approximately 26%) and the rest of the field, including businessman Nathan Butterfield. Lahmeyer subsequently withdrew, prompting Trump to shift his endorsement to Tedford. This combination of primary results, withdrawal, and high-profile backing has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that Tedford is the nominee. The market prices reflect the effective resolution of the contest in Tedford’s favor. A reversal would require an extraordinary development such as Lahmeyer reversing his withdrawal before any formal certification or an unforeseen procedural challenge—both considered highly remote given the timeline and current dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$149,723
終了日
2026/06/16
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「OK-01 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Mark Tedford」で99%、次いで「Jackson Lahmeyer」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、99¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に99%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「OK-01 Republican Primary Winner」は$149.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 22, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「OK-01 Republican Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「OK-01 Republican Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Mark Tedford」で99%であり、市場がこの結果に99%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Jackson Lahmeyer」で1%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「OK-01 Republican Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。