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# of seats Bloc Quebecois win in Canadian Election?

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# of seats Bloc Quebecois win in Canadian Election?

21-25 100.0%

≤9 <1%

10-15 <1%

16-20 <1%

Polymarket

$487,467 Vol.

21-25 100.0%

≤9 <1%

10-15 <1%

16-20 <1%

Polymarket

$487,467 Vol.

≤9

$33,243 Vol.

No

10-15

$49,897 Vol.

No

16-20

$206,678 Vol.

No

21-25

$131,694 Vol.

Yes

26-30

$29,088 Vol.

No

31+

$36,868 Vol.

No

The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats Bloc Quebecois wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volume
$487,467
End Date
Apr 28, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve according to the number of seats Bloc Quebecois wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of seats Bloc Quebecois win in Canadian Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "21-25" at 100%, followed by "≤9" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of seats Bloc Quebecois win in Canadian Election?" has generated $487.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of seats Bloc Quebecois win in Canadian Election?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of seats Bloc Quebecois win in Canadian Election?" is "21-25" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "≤9" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of seats Bloc Quebecois win in Canadian Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.