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Politics·Culture

Number of TSA Passengers March 28?

Market icon
Politics·Culture

Number of TSA Passengers March 28?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

<2.6M 98.1%

2.6M-2.8M 1.5%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

3.0M-3.2M <1%

Polymarket

$7,773 Vol.

<2.6M 98.1%

2.6M-2.8M 1.5%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

3.0M-3.2M <1%

Polymarket

$7,773 Vol.

<2.6M

$708 Vol.

98%

2.6M-2.8M

$379 Vol.

2%

2.8M-3.0M

$3,132 Vol.

1%

3.0M-3.2M

$1,198 Vol.

<1%

3.2M-3.4M

$1,320 Vol.

<1%

>3.4M

$1,036 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 28, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs under 2.6 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 28 at 98.1% implied probability, driven by a dramatic midweek plunge amid the ongoing DHS shutdown crisis—March 24 logged a recent low of 2.19 million and March 25 hit 2.38 million, as 40-50% officer callouts sparked viral four-hour lines and traveler avoidance. Even Thursday's 2.72 million rebound reflects post-spring break volatility and year-over-year declines near 8%, with chaos boosting private jet surges and deterring commercial flights. Realistic upsets hinge on an unforeseen weekend rally from cleared weather or funding breakthroughs, though historical weekend lulls post-peak seasons reinforce the frontrunner. Official numbers post by Monday morning.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs under 2.6 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 28 at 98.1% implied probability, driven by a dramatic midweek plunge amid the ongoing DHS shutdown crisis—March 24 logged a recent low of 2.19 million and March 25 hit 2.38 million, as 40-50% officer callouts sparked viral four-hour lines and traveler avoidance. Even Thursday's 2.72 million rebound reflects post-spring break volatility and year-over-year declines near 8%, with chaos boosting private jet surges and deterring commercial flights. Realistic upsets hinge on an unforeseen weekend rally from cleared weather or funding breakthroughs, though historical weekend lulls post-peak seasons reinforce the frontrunner. Official numbers post by Monday morning.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 28, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs under 2.6 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 28 at 98.1% implied probability, driven by a dramatic midweek plunge amid the ongoing DHS shutdown crisis—March 24 logged a recent low of 2.19 million and March 25 hit 2.38 million, as 40-50% officer callouts sparked viral four-hour lines and traveler avoidance. Even Thursday's 2.72 million rebound reflects post-spring break volatility and year-over-year declines near 8%, with chaos boosting private jet surges and deterring commercial flights. Realistic upsets hinge on an unforeseen weekend rally from cleared weather or funding breakthroughs, though historical weekend lulls post-peak seasons reinforce the frontrunner. Official numbers post by Monday morning.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs under 2.6 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 28 at 98.1% implied probability, driven by a dramatic midweek plunge amid the ongoing DHS shutdown crisis—March 24 logged a recent low of 2.19 million and March 25 hit 2.38 million, as 40-50% officer callouts sparked viral four-hour lines and traveler avoidance. Even Thursday's 2.72 million rebound reflects post-spring break volatility and year-over-year declines near 8%, with chaos boosting private jet surges and deterring commercial flights. Realistic upsets hinge on an unforeseen weekend rally from cleared weather or funding breakthroughs, though historical weekend lulls post-peak seasons reinforce the frontrunner. Official numbers post by Monday morning.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of TSA Passengers March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<2.6M" at 98%, followed by "2.6M-2.8M" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of TSA Passengers March 28?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of TSA Passengers March 28?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of TSA Passengers March 28?" is "<2.6M" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2.6M-2.8M" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of TSA Passengers March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.