Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 93%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 2.5%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President <1%
Starmer - UK PM <1%
$8,141,093 Vol.
$8,141,093 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$327,095 Vol.
93%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$377,502 Vol.
3%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$366,830 Vol.
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$371,654 Vol.
<1%
Lecornu - France PM
$338,209 Vol.
<1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$300,207 Vol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$282,501 Vol.
<1%
Macron - France President
$239,863 Vol.
<1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$380,526 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$410,385 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$270,542 Vol.
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$259,176 Vol.
<1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$284,644 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$243,501 Vol.
<1%
Trump - USA President
$386,195 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$314,245 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$224,916 Vol.
<1%
Putin - Russia President
$249,935 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$275,057 Vol.
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
$277,563 Vol.
<1%
None before 2027
$274,020 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$276,792 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$241,760 Vol.
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$310,356 Vol.
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$332,199 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$292,459 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$232,961 Vol.
<1%
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 5, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 93%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 2.5%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President <1%
Starmer - UK PM <1%
$8,141,093 Vol.
$8,141,093 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
93%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
3%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
1%
Starmer - UK PM
<1%
Lecornu - France PM
<1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
<1%
Macron - France President
<1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
<1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
<1%
Trump - USA President
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
Putin - Russia President
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
<1%
None before 2027
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
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