Next French Prime Minister
Sébastien Lecornu 100.0%
Lucie Castets <1%
No new PM <1%
David Lisnard <1%
$275,032 Vol.
$275,032 Vol.
Lucie Castets
$12,652 Vol.
No
Lucie Castets
$12,652 Vol.
No
No new PM
$27,948 Vol.
No
No new PM
$27,948 Vol.
No
David Lisnard
$9,016 Vol.
No
David Lisnard
$9,016 Vol.
No
Laurent Wauquiez
$5,010 Vol.
No
Laurent Wauquiez
$5,010 Vol.
No
Éric Zemmour
$2,832 Vol.
No
Éric Zemmour
$2,832 Vol.
No
Bruno Retailleau
$8,977 Vol.
No
Bruno Retailleau
$8,977 Vol.
No
Xavier Bertrand
$10,027 Vol.
No
Xavier Bertrand
$10,027 Vol.
No
Valérie Pécresse
$3,763 Vol.
No
Valérie Pécresse
$3,763 Vol.
No
Jordan Bardella
$18,285 Vol.
No
Jordan Bardella
$18,285 Vol.
No
Gérald Darmanin
$12,849 Vol.
No
Gérald Darmanin
$12,849 Vol.
No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$2,889 Vol.
No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$2,889 Vol.
No
Bernard Cazeneuve
$11,618 Vol.
No
Bernard Cazeneuve
$11,618 Vol.
No
Pierre Moscovici
$8,409 Vol.
No
Pierre Moscovici
$8,409 Vol.
No
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$3,119 Vol.
No
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$3,119 Vol.
No
Éric Lombard
$17,568 Vol.
No
Éric Lombard
$17,568 Vol.
No
Sébastien Lecornu
$69,529 Vol.
Yes
Sébastien Lecornu
$69,529 Vol.
Yes
Catherine Vautrin
$10,144 Vol.
No
Catherine Vautrin
$10,144 Vol.
No
Jean Castex
$6,202 Vol.
No
Jean Castex
$6,202 Vol.
No
Roland Lescure
$2,404 Vol.
No
Roland Lescure
$2,404 Vol.
No
Election called
$31,790 Vol.
No
Election called
$31,790 Vol.
No
Rules
Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote.
If the confidence vote scheduled for September 8 passes, or if no new PM is appointed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No new PM”.
If the President of France calls new elections prior to appointing a new PM, this market will resolve to “Election called”.
The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Aug 27, 2025, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Next French Prime Minister
Sébastien Lecornu 100.0%
Lucie Castets <1%
No new PM <1%
David Lisnard <1%
$275,032 Vol.
$275,032 Vol.
Lucie Castets
No
No new PM
No
David Lisnard
No
Laurent Wauquiez
No
Éric Zemmour
No
Bruno Retailleau
No
Xavier Bertrand
No
Valérie Pécresse
No
Jordan Bardella
No
Gérald Darmanin
No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
No
Bernard Cazeneuve
No
Pierre Moscovici
No
Yaël Braun-Pivet
No
Éric Lombard
No
Sébastien Lecornu
Yes
Catherine Vautrin
No
Jean Castex
No
Roland Lescure
No
Election called
No
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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