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Next French Presidential Election

$361,558 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 35%

Édouard Philippe 21%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%

Marine Le Pen 9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$361,558
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:47 PM
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$361,558 Vol.

Market icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 35%

Édouard Philippe 21%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%

Marine Le Pen 9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Jordan Bardella

$10,395 Vol.

35%

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Édouard Philippe

$6,586 Vol.

21%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$16,237 Vol.

10%

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Marine Le Pen

$8,476 Vol.

9%

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Bruno Retailleau

$5,270 Vol.

6%

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Gabriel Attal

$5,365 Vol.

5%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$6,938 Vol.

5%

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Dominique de Villepin

$7,968 Vol.

4%

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David Lisnard

$7,155 Vol.

4%

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Éric Zemmour

$5,919 Vol.

3%

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François Hollande

$6,452 Vol.

1%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$4,920 Vol.

1%

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Olivier Faure

$9,654 Vol.

1%

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François Ruffin

$6,761 Vol.

1%

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François Bayrou

$6,355 Vol.

1%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$6,660 Vol.

1%

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Manuel Bompard

$11,945 Vol.

<1%

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Xavier Bertrand

$17,434 Vol.

<1%

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Marine Tondelier

$6,169 Vol.

<1%

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Fabien Roussel

$6,901 Vol.

<1%

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Clémentine Autain

$15,223 Vol.

<1%

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Michel Barnier

$7,048 Vol.

<1%

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François Asselineau

$54,360 Vol.

<1%

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Gérald Darmanin

$5,054 Vol.

<1%

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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$16,846 Vol.

<1%

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Valérie Pécresse

$5,332 Vol.

<1%

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Élisabeth Borne

$6,574 Vol.

<1%

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Jean Castex

$5,876 Vol.

<1%

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Carole Delga

$41,078 Vol.

<1%

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Ségolène Royal

$25,154 Vol.

<1%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,058 Vol.

<1%

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Mathilde Panot

$10,394 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$361,558
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:47 PM