Dan Koh secured the Democratic nomination for Massachusetts’ 6th Congressional District on September 1 after defeating a crowded primary field, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election against Republican Micah Jones. The open seat, vacated by Seth Moulton’s Senate bid, sits in a solidly Democratic district where recent forecasts project Koh winning by more than 25 points. Koh’s substantial fundraising edge, institutional endorsements, and prior government experience have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Jones, an Army veteran and first-time candidate, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural challenges in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in decades. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national political shift remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMA-06 House Election Winner
MA-06 House Election Winner
$27,183 Vol.
$27,183 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Dan Koh (D)
96%
Micah Jones (R)
3%
$27,183 Vol.
$27,183 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Dan Koh (D)
$15,832 Vol.
96%
Micah Jones (R)
$11,351 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dan Koh secured the Democratic nomination for Massachusetts’ 6th Congressional District on September 1 after defeating a crowded primary field, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election against Republican Micah Jones. The open seat, vacated by Seth Moulton’s Senate bid, sits in a solidly Democratic district where recent forecasts project Koh winning by more than 25 points. Koh’s substantial fundraising edge, institutional endorsements, and prior government experience have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Jones, an Army veteran and first-time candidate, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural challenges in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in decades. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national political shift remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$27,183End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dan Koh secured the Democratic nomination for Massachusetts’ 6th Congressional District on September 1 after defeating a crowded primary field, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election against Republican Micah Jones. The open seat, vacated by Seth Moulton’s Senate bid, sits in a solidly Democratic district where recent forecasts project Koh winning by more than 25 points. Koh’s substantial fundraising edge, institutional endorsements, and prior government experience have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Jones, an Army veteran and first-time candidate, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural challenges in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in decades. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national political shift remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,183End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Dan Koh secured the Democratic nomination for Massachusetts’ 6th Congressional District on September 1 after defeating a crowded primary field, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election against Republican Micah Jones. The open seat, vacated by Seth Moulton’s Senate bid, sits in a solidly Democratic district where recent forecasts project Koh winning by more than 25 points. Koh’s substantial fundraising edge, institutional endorsements, and prior government experience have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Jones, an Army veteran and first-time candidate, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural challenges in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in decades. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national political shift remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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