The Massachusetts 2nd district's consistent Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and prior results showing double-digit margins, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Jim McGovern, serving since 1997 with recent general election shares near 69 percent, advanced unopposed through the September 1 primary amid no filed Republican challenger and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Fundraising, labor endorsements, and routine constituent work have further reinforced the position ahead of the November 3 general. A late credible GOP candidate or significant disruption to the incumbent's campaign could narrow the gap, though such developments remain rare in this district given long-term voting patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$73,058 Vol.
$73,058 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
95%
Republican Party
5%
$73,058 Vol.
$73,058 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
$35,238 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$37,819 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd district's consistent Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and prior results showing double-digit margins, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Jim McGovern, serving since 1997 with recent general election shares near 69 percent, advanced unopposed through the September 1 primary amid no filed Republican challenger and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Fundraising, labor endorsements, and routine constituent work have further reinforced the position ahead of the November 3 general. A late credible GOP candidate or significant disruption to the incumbent's campaign could narrow the gap, though such developments remain rare in this district given long-term voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$73,058End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd district's consistent Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and prior results showing double-digit margins, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Jim McGovern, serving since 1997 with recent general election shares near 69 percent, advanced unopposed through the September 1 primary amid no filed Republican challenger and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Fundraising, labor endorsements, and routine constituent work have further reinforced the position ahead of the November 3 general. A late credible GOP candidate or significant disruption to the incumbent's campaign could narrow the gap, though such developments remain rare in this district given long-term voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$73,058End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...The Massachusetts 2nd district's consistent Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and prior results showing double-digit margins, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Jim McGovern, serving since 1997 with recent general election shares near 69 percent, advanced unopposed through the September 1 primary amid no filed Republican challenger and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Fundraising, labor endorsements, and routine constituent work have further reinforced the position ahead of the November 3 general. A late credible GOP candidate or significant disruption to the incumbent's campaign could narrow the gap, though such developments remain rare in this district given long-term voting patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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