Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the 2026 House election winner, reflecting consistent 50-point general election margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar seeks re-election amid Democratic primary challengers Julie Le, a former federal prosecutor who announced in March, and Latonya Reeves, a probation officer, ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primary. Republicans field John Nagel, Angela Marie Walls-Windhauser, and Dalia al-Aqidi, who lost 75-25% in 2024. Cook rates it Solid Democratic. Realistic challenges include a scandal-weakened Democratic nominee, an exceptional GOP recruit, or a massive national Republican wave altering midterm dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$33,638 वॉल्यूम
$33,638 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$33,638 वॉल्यूम
$33,638 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,047 वॉल्यूम
94%
Republican Party
$18,591 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the 2026 House election winner, reflecting consistent 50-point general election margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar seeks re-election amid Democratic primary challengers Julie Le, a former federal prosecutor who announced in March, and Latonya Reeves, a probation officer, ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primary. Republicans field John Nagel, Angela Marie Walls-Windhauser, and Dalia al-Aqidi, who lost 75-25% in 2024. Cook rates it Solid Democratic. Realistic challenges include a scandal-weakened Democratic nominee, an exceptional GOP recruit, or a massive national Republican wave altering midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$33,638समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the 2026 House election winner, reflecting consistent 50-point general election margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar seeks re-election amid Democratic primary challengers Julie Le, a former federal prosecutor who announced in March, and Latonya Reeves, a probation officer, ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primary. Republicans field John Nagel, Angela Marie Walls-Windhauser, and Dalia al-Aqidi, who lost 75-25% in 2024. Cook rates it Solid Democratic. Realistic challenges include a scandal-weakened Democratic nominee, an exceptional GOP recruit, or a massive national Republican wave altering midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$33,638समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the 2026 House election winner, reflecting consistent 50-point general election margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar seeks re-election amid Democratic primary challengers Julie Le, a former federal prosecutor who announced in March, and Latonya Reeves, a probation officer, ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primary. Republicans field John Nagel, Angela Marie Walls-Windhauser, and Dalia al-Aqidi, who lost 75-25% in 2024. Cook rates it Solid Democratic. Realistic challenges include a scandal-weakened Democratic nominee, an exceptional GOP recruit, or a massive national Republican wave altering midterm dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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