Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s commanding position in the WA-09 House race reflects the district’s strong Democratic lean, rated Solid Democratic by forecasters with a partisan voting index around D+22. Smith, the longest-serving member of Washington’s delegation and ranking Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee, advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary after left-leaning challengers split opposition votes, securing a matchup against perennial Republican Doug Basler. Smith’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of serious primary threats have reinforced trader consensus on a wide November margin. A realistic shift would require a major national realignment, late-breaking scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA -09 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WA -09 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$51,324 वॉल्यूम
$51,324 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
एडम स्मिथ (डेमोक्रेट)
96%
डग बासलर (रिपब्लिकन)
2%
$51,324 वॉल्यूम
$51,324 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
एडम स्मिथ (डेमोक्रेट)
$11,845 वॉल्यूम
96%
डग बासलर (रिपब्लिकन)
$39,479 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s commanding position in the WA-09 House race reflects the district’s strong Democratic lean, rated Solid Democratic by forecasters with a partisan voting index around D+22. Smith, the longest-serving member of Washington’s delegation and ranking Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee, advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary after left-leaning challengers split opposition votes, securing a matchup against perennial Republican Doug Basler. Smith’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of serious primary threats have reinforced trader consensus on a wide November margin. A realistic shift would require a major national realignment, late-breaking scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$51,324समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s commanding position in the WA-09 House race reflects the district’s strong Democratic lean, rated Solid Democratic by forecasters with a partisan voting index around D+22. Smith, the longest-serving member of Washington’s delegation and ranking Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee, advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary after left-leaning challengers split opposition votes, securing a matchup against perennial Republican Doug Basler. Smith’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of serious primary threats have reinforced trader consensus on a wide November margin. A realistic shift would require a major national realignment, late-breaking scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$51,324समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s commanding position in the WA-09 House race reflects the district’s strong Democratic lean, rated Solid Democratic by forecasters with a partisan voting index around D+22. Smith, the longest-serving member of Washington’s delegation and ranking Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee, advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary after left-leaning challengers split opposition votes, securing a matchup against perennial Republican Doug Basler. Smith’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of serious primary threats have reinforced trader consensus on a wide November margin. A realistic shift would require a major national realignment, late-breaking scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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