Trader consensus for the La Paz gubernatorial election hinges on neck-and-neck polling between Luis Antonio Revilla (39.9%) and Felix Patzi (38.9%), reflecting fragmented voter bases in Bolivia's highland department. Revilla draws from urban support tied to his La Paz mayoral record, while Patzi leverages prior governorship experience and Comunidad Ciudadana ties, amid MAS party infighting spilling over from national Arce-Morales tensions. Lower-tier candidates like René Yahuasi split indigenous and rural votes, sustaining tightness. Recent surveys show undecideds at 10-15%, with final debates, endorsements, or turnout in El Alto potentially creating separation before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLa Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)
La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)
Felix Patzi 50.3%
Luis Antonio Revilla 40.4%
René Yahuasi Calamani 18.2%
Richard Andrés Gómez 7.0%
$22,077 Vol.
$22,077 Vol.
Felix Patzi
43%
Luis Antonio Revilla
40%
René Yahuasi Calamani
10%
Richard Andrés Gómez
7%
Santos Quispe Quispe
6%
Fidel Chura
4%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
3%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Gualberto Cusi
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
Felix Patzi 50.3%
Luis Antonio Revilla 40.4%
René Yahuasi Calamani 18.2%
Richard Andrés Gómez 7.0%
$22,077 Vol.
$22,077 Vol.
Felix Patzi
43%
Luis Antonio Revilla
40%
René Yahuasi Calamani
10%
Richard Andrés Gómez
7%
Santos Quispe Quispe
6%
Fidel Chura
4%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
3%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Gualberto Cusi
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Market Opened: Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus for the La Paz gubernatorial election hinges on neck-and-neck polling between Luis Antonio Revilla (39.9%) and Felix Patzi (38.9%), reflecting fragmented voter bases in Bolivia's highland department. Revilla draws from urban support tied to his La Paz mayoral record, while Patzi leverages prior governorship experience and Comunidad Ciudadana ties, amid MAS party infighting spilling over from national Arce-Morales tensions. Lower-tier candidates like René Yahuasi split indigenous and rural votes, sustaining tightness. Recent surveys show undecideds at 10-15%, with final debates, endorsements, or turnout in El Alto potentially creating separation before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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