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IPOs before 2027?

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IPOs before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$5,305,795 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$5,305,795 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

SpaceX

$455,899 Vol.

95%

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Cerebras

$277,955 Vol.

89%

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Discord

$424,148 Vol.

62%

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WHOOP

$0 Vol.

45%

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Anthropic

$165,800 Vol.

43%

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OpenAI

$191,926 Vol.

38%

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Deel

$117,039 Vol.

38%

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Ledger

$476,519 Vol.

36%

Market icon

Databricks

$446,887 Vol.

31%

Market icon

SHEIN

$61,099 Vol.

28%

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Canva

$20,093 Vol.

26%

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ByteDance

$1,594 Vol.

23%

Market icon

Remote

$51,191 Vol.

23%

Market icon

Anduril Industries

$17,873 Vol.

23%

Market icon

Vanta

$111,003 Vol.

22%

Market icon

Anysphere (Cursor)

$89,547 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Glean

$42,741 Vol.

20%

Market icon

Ripple Labs

$131,133 Vol.

19%

Market icon

Revolut

$35,338 Vol.

19%

Market icon

Epic Games

$66,021 Vol.

19%

Market icon

Anduril

$317,281 Vol.

18%

Market icon

Waymo

$22,785 Vol.

18%

Market icon

Applied Intuition

$175,570 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Stripe

$226,275 Vol.

16%

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Celonis

$194,608 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Freddie Mac

$224,589 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Mistral AI

$131,790 Vol.

16%

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Fannie Mae

$134,006 Vol.

15%

Market icon

Ramp

$136,563 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Rippling

$97,154 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Brex

$100,704 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX completing an IPO before year-end 2026, propelled by its confidential SEC filing on April 1 targeting a record $75 billion raise at over $1.75 trillion valuation, following the xAI merger and TERAFAB factory announcement accelerating Starship production. Cerebras Systems reinforces strong sentiment with its reactivated roadshow led by Morgan Stanley, eyeing an April AI chip debut amid surging demand for wafer-scale processors rivaling Nvidia. Discord's January confidential filing bolsters its positioning as a mature gaming and social platform. Lower odds for OpenAI and Anthropic reflect ongoing AI safety regulations and internal delays. Key catalysts include S-1 disclosures, Q2 roadshows, and Federal Reserve rate decisions shaping the IPO window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,305,795
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX completing an IPO before year-end 2026, propelled by its confidential SEC filing on April 1 targeting a record $75 billion raise at over $1.75 trillion valuation, following the xAI merger and TERAFAB factory announcement accelerating Starship production. Cerebras Systems reinforces strong sentiment with its reactivated roadshow led by Morgan Stanley, eyeing an April AI chip debut amid surging demand for wafer-scale processors rivaling Nvidia. Discord's January confidential filing bolsters its positioning as a mature gaming and social platform. Lower odds for OpenAI and Anthropic reflect ongoing AI safety regulations and internal delays. Key catalysts include S-1 disclosures, Q2 roadshows, and Federal Reserve rate decisions shaping the IPO window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,305,795
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"IPOs before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 34 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%, followed by "Wealthfront" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IPOs before 2027?" has generated $5.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IPOs before 2027?," browse the 34 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPOs before 2027?" is "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wealthfront" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPOs before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.