Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX completing an IPO before year-end 2026, propelled by its confidential SEC filing on April 1 targeting a record $75 billion raise at over $1.75 trillion valuation, following the xAI merger and TERAFAB factory announcement accelerating Starship production. Cerebras Systems reinforces strong sentiment with its reactivated roadshow led by Morgan Stanley, eyeing an April AI chip debut amid surging demand for wafer-scale processors rivaling Nvidia. Discord's January confidential filing bolsters its positioning as a mature gaming and social platform. Lower odds for OpenAI and Anthropic reflect ongoing AI safety regulations and internal delays. Key catalysts include S-1 disclosures, Q2 roadshows, and Federal Reserve rate decisions shaping the IPO window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$5,305,795 Vol.

SpaceX
95%

Cerebras
89%

Discord
62%

WHOOP
45%

Anthropic
43%

OpenAI
38%

Deel
38%

Ledger
36%

Databricks
31%

SHEIN
28%

Canva
26%

ByteDance
23%

Remote
23%

Anduril Industries
23%

Vanta
22%

Anysphere (Cursor)
21%

Glean
20%

Ripple Labs
19%

Revolut
19%

Epic Games
19%

Anduril
18%

Waymo
18%

Applied Intuition
16%

Stripe
16%

Celonis
16%

Freddie Mac
16%

Mistral AI
16%

Fannie Mae
15%

Ramp
13%

Rippling
12%

Brex
7%
$5,305,795 Vol.

SpaceX
95%

Cerebras
89%

Discord
62%

WHOOP
45%

Anthropic
43%

OpenAI
38%

Deel
38%

Ledger
36%

Databricks
31%

SHEIN
28%

Canva
26%

ByteDance
23%

Remote
23%

Anduril Industries
23%

Vanta
22%

Anysphere (Cursor)
21%

Glean
20%

Ripple Labs
19%

Revolut
19%

Epic Games
19%

Anduril
18%

Waymo
18%

Applied Intuition
16%

Stripe
16%

Celonis
16%

Freddie Mac
16%

Mistral AI
16%

Fannie Mae
15%

Ramp
13%

Rippling
12%

Brex
7%
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX completing an IPO before year-end 2026, propelled by its confidential SEC filing on April 1 targeting a record $75 billion raise at over $1.75 trillion valuation, following the xAI merger and TERAFAB factory announcement accelerating Starship production. Cerebras Systems reinforces strong sentiment with its reactivated roadshow led by Morgan Stanley, eyeing an April AI chip debut amid surging demand for wafer-scale processors rivaling Nvidia. Discord's January confidential filing bolsters its positioning as a mature gaming and social platform. Lower odds for OpenAI and Anthropic reflect ongoing AI safety regulations and internal delays. Key catalysts include S-1 disclosures, Q2 roadshows, and Federal Reserve rate decisions shaping the IPO window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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