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Tech·IPOs

IPOs before 2027?

Market icon
Tech·IPOs

IPOs before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$5,300,888 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$5,300,888 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

SpaceX

$455,763 Vol.

95%

Market icon

Cerebras

$277,759 Vol.

89%

Market icon

Discord

$424,123 Vol.

61%

Market icon

Ledger

$475,424 Vol.

61%

Market icon

WHOOP

$0 Vol.

47%

Market icon

Anthropic

$165,528 Vol.

44%

Market icon

OpenAI

$191,926 Vol.

38%

Market icon

Deel

$117,034 Vol.

38%

Market icon

Databricks

$446,887 Vol.

31%

Market icon

SHEIN

$61,099 Vol.

30%

Market icon

Canva

$20,093 Vol.

28%

Market icon

Anysphere (Cursor)

$88,869 Vol.

26%

Market icon

Remote

$51,191 Vol.

23%

Market icon

ByteDance

$1,590 Vol.

23%

Market icon

Stripe

$225,780 Vol.

22%

Market icon

Celonis

$194,608 Vol.

19%

Market icon

Anduril Industries

$17,873 Vol.

22%

Market icon

Ripple Labs

$131,067 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Glean

$42,741 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Revolut

$35,338 Vol.

18%

Market icon

Anduril

$317,281 Vol.

18%

Market icon

Epic Games

$66,021 Vol.

18%

Market icon

Fannie Mae

$133,783 Vol.

17%

Market icon

Vanta

$110,183 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Applied Intuition

$175,570 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Mistral AI

$131,790 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Freddie Mac

$224,589 Vol.

15%

Market icon

Ramp

$136,557 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Rippling

$97,054 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Waymo

$22,527 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Brex

$100,554 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 has driven its IPO-before-2027 implied probability to 95% on Polymarket, positioning the space tech giant for a potential June listing at over $1.5 trillion valuation fueled by Starlink expansion and AI infrastructure synergies. Cerebras follows closely at 90% odds after its own confidential filing targeting Q2 2026, capitalizing on AI chip demand, while Discord trades at 63% post-filing amid social platform dynamics. Lower probabilities for OpenAI (38%) and Anthropic (45%) reflect absent official announcements despite revenue surges at these AI labs. Traders eye Q2 roadshows and public filings from Databricks and Stripe as key catalysts amid robust private funding but growing public market appetite.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,300,888
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 has driven its IPO-before-2027 implied probability to 95% on Polymarket, positioning the space tech giant for a potential June listing at over $1.5 trillion valuation fueled by Starlink expansion and AI infrastructure synergies. Cerebras follows closely at 90% odds after its own confidential filing targeting Q2 2026, capitalizing on AI chip demand, while Discord trades at 63% post-filing amid social platform dynamics. Lower probabilities for OpenAI (38%) and Anthropic (45%) reflect absent official announcements despite revenue surges at these AI labs. Traders eye Q2 roadshows and public filings from Databricks and Stripe as key catalysts amid robust private funding but growing public market appetite.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,300,888
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Related

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OKX IPO in 2026?

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Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

36%
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Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?

94%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"IPOs before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 34 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%, followed by "Wealthfront" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IPOs before 2027?" has generated $5.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IPOs before 2027?," browse the 34 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPOs before 2027?" is "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wealthfront" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPOs before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.