Name: How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?
Start: 2025-02-26T22:59:34.701881Z
End: 2025-12-31T12:00:00Z

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Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. 

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number or percentage of employees that accept the deferred resignation offer by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. 

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of Gold Card participants by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

>100k

101-1k

2.5k-5k

5k-10k

10k-25k

1-100

1k-2.5k

25k-100k

Gold Card

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

President Donald Trump has introduced a 'Gold Card' visa program, priced at $5 million, aimed at attracting high net-worth individuals to gain permanent residency and help reduce U.S. debt. The proposal, replacing the EB-5 visa, has sparked discussions about its potential impact on the housing market and national debt, with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick claiming 250,000 people are already interested.

Trump Unveils Gold Card

Has Trump put up entry into the U.S. for sale? What is the ‘gold card’ proposal? Will it replace the existing EB-5 visa programme? @narlak explains.
https://t.co/1bCxKX75OA

Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick: "If we sell 200,000 gold cards, that is $1 trillion to pay down our debt."

President Trump's new Gold Card would replace the fraudulent EB-5 program.

What do you think about this "Gold Card" proposal? https://t.co/tZ3y4Beu56

Chamath on Trump's Gold Card: "I love that. If I had to do it again, I would have spent $5 million bucks."

On E217, the besties discussed Trump's "Gold Card" or Golden Visa, which would grant card holders permanent residency for $5M.

@chamath:

"What do you guys think about the https://t.co/d8lGwTFs8m

White liberal women are OUTRAGED over Trump deporting illegal immigrants that can’t afford a ‘gold card visa’ 

These Visa’s are $5 million and will be going towards the US debt… https://t.co/gzoUmtTYPp

"USA SEEKS HIGH NET-WORTH INDIVIDUALS FROM THE WORLD OVER.
Donald Trump has announced a Gold Card scheme, a turbo version of the Green Card. It would go on sale in 2 weeks, costing USD 5 million. It’s intended to attract high net worth individuals who could bring jobs,

Why Trump’s ‘gold card’ visa program could make the pricey U.S. housing market even more expensive https://t.co/0YKqG6UhIo

🟦 Blindspot for the Left:
U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick says 250,000 people are waiting to apply for President Trump’s proposed “gold card” visa program. 
https://t.co/40PI0tTbzg https://t.co/V1f0eHku1r

#MCPersonalFinance | How Trump’s ‘Gold Card' visa differs from EB-5 investment-linked programme 🇺🇸🪪

@Preeti__Kul  &amp; @Abhinavkaul  share more details here ⤵️
https://t.co/W3spP1s2Uu

#Trump #GoldCard #EB5Visa #InvestmentProgramme

This week's #crypto market highlights✅

▫️#ByBit launches bounty for stolen funds
▫️EU sanctions Russian crypto exchange Garantex
▫️South Dakota rejects #Bitcoin investment bill
▫️Trump announces $5m Gold Card for citizenship
▫️Trump confirms tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China https://t.co/1UYVAVbMbR

As President Donald Trump looks to market the "gold card" visa as a means to pay off the US' debt, questions remain whether its effects will be far-reaching. https://t.co/XL5n12Gfcn

The United States, under the Trump administration, sold 1,000 Gold Card visas at $5 million each in a single day, generating $5 billion in revenue as announced by Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. This program, potentially to be renamed 'Trump Card,' targets high net worth individuals and has already attracted significant interest with 250,000 applicants.

1,000 Visas Sold

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 The United States sold 1,000 Gold Card visas worth $5m each in a single day - Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick

That's $5 billion in revenue from just one day.

GOLD CARD: Secretary Lutnick announced he sold 1,000 $5M gold cards in just one day - before launching the official website generating $5B in revenue.  https://t.co/sNp3bItsAK

One of the more interesting parts of the pod for m personally was the Trump Gold Card - quite a few high net worth foreigners go right up against the 120 day # for US presence to avoid being subject to USA Income tax regime.  

Hearing the way Lutnick described it $5m fee for an https://t.co/1omPjLMMBM

NEW - U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick announced on the All In podcast that Trump admin sold 1,000 Gold Cards in one day. The Gold Card is priced at $5 million each. This suggests that the program generated total revenue of $5 billion in one day. https://t.co/KxiJIuyQSq

The U.S. government sold 1,000 Trump gold card visas at $5 million a piece according to Howard Lutnick

$5 billion in revenue in just one day is impressive! 

How many will the U.S. sell in 4 years? 👀

🚨BREAKING: US MADE $5B IN A SINGLE DAY BY SELLING 1,000 GOLD CARD VISAS FOR $5M EACH!!!🚨

(This program was created by a Solana Memecoin founder) https://t.co/SGCcKxvwGM

Trump already raised $5 BILLION in a day

selling gold card visas at $5m each https://t.co/NYyNyZ3eol

Every comment said $5,000,000 Gold Card Visas wouldn’t work…

Lutnick casually dropped that they’ve sold 1000 so far, that’s 5 billion dollars worth of Visas. 

What’s more bullish for the USA is that 1000 high net worth individuals are willing to pay this, reverse brain drain. https://t.co/eTSwDvAtZl https://t.co/yniagcEQp0

The United States sold 1,000 Gold Card visas worth $5m each in a single day - Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick says he sold 1000 immigration Gold Cards in just one day this week.

Each card is $5M. That's a lot of zeros. 

https://t.co/UDQLKY943y

ALL  ABOUT  TRUMP’s  LEGACY⁉️

Donald Trump Says Gold Card Visa Could Be Renamed  'Trump Card'

Trump's proposed "Gold Card" program would:

-Offer U.S. residency to individuals who invest $5 million in American businesses

-Replace the EB-5 visa immigrant investor visa program https://t.co/c3u4ObE9EL

Donald Trump says gold card visa could be renamed 'Trump card' - Newsweek https://t.co/blvsR4XdFh

I mean great but I think this should still be like a subscription/country club. You plunk down your $5M upfront but you should still have to do a million a year to keep the gold card subscription active. (Can get exclusive AMAs with House members) https://t.co/TJIj0U7sIa

During this interview, Howard Lutnick does a masterful job of explaining DOGE, the strategy and purpose of tariffs, the Trump Gold Card and what the Sovereign Wealth Fund will enable the USA to do

This is a must watch that will raise your IQ level

$BTC $MSTR $MARA $MTPLF $BMAX https://t.co/XVCdLHLlL2

GOLD CARD: Secretary Lutnick announced he sold 1,000 $5M gold cards in just one day - before launching the official website generating $5B in revenue.

 https://t.co/V0YP370pED

Friday, March 21st, 2025
EVENING NEWSFLASH 🔥 

Howard Lutnick says 1000 Gold Card Visas at $5 million each were sold in a single day. $5 billion in revenue in just 1 day.

Trump announced the revocation of temporary legal status for approximately 530,000 individuals.
🇺🇸
WINNING https://t.co/yeqJv3g8CJ

INTEL: U.S. pocketed $5 billion in a single day by selling 1,000 Gold Card visas for $5 million each, as revealed by Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.

What if the US used the gold card revenue to buy Bitcoin 👀

🚨NEW: U.S. Generates $5 Billion in One Day by Selling 1,000 Gold Card Visas at $5M Each.

The nonsense @howardlutnick is spouting here is remarkable. Ignoring the fact that creating a “gold card” immigration program without Congress is highly illegal, he claims to have already sold 1,000 cards while also stating that the program has yet to launch because “Elon is https://t.co/zx2dLsfKUF

U.S. commerce secretary Howard Lutnick says there are 37 million in the world who could qualify and afford a $5 million trump gold card. https://t.co/FQZm7F4Sg5

From The Desk Of Anthony Pompliano

0:00 Intro
0:25 Can The US Gold Card Save America?
3:07  Robots Are Coming Fast!
7:15 Financing Burritos

Enjoy! https://t.co/1UGtyb0YxT

That’s 5 BILLION dollars! I didn’t realize the gold card was going to be so popular. https://t.co/m6Z7fJYxIp

🚨BREAKING: Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick just announced they have sold 1,000 Gold Cards for $5 million each this WEEK!

There are 37,000,000 people in the world who are capable of buying the card. POTUS thinks we can sell a million

The Trump Effect!
https://t.co/i1uCNlYooq

Commerce Secretary Lutnick announced he sold 1,000 Gold Cards in one day. Gold Card priced at $5 million each. Program generated total revenue of $5 billion in one day.  200,000 Trump Gold Cards could contribute $1 trillion towards reducing the national debt.

Trump has sold 1,000 Gold Card visas worth $ 5 million each in a single day - Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. That's $5 billion in revenue from just one day!
Wow.

BREAKING: The United States sold 1,000 Gold Card visas worth $5m each in a single day, according to Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick @howardlutnick 

That's $5 billion in revenue from one single day.

One very interesting detail he mentioned was that unlike the EB-5 program, the Gold Card would be territorial taxation, not worldwide. This is a huge difference for this wealth bracket. https://t.co/UHnTnSDQ9J

Donald Trump's 'Gold Card' Visa Program Already Has 250,000 Applicants - Newsweek https://t.co/917PI31fvC

Elon Musk's DOGE is supporting the initiative by developing the necessary technology to facilitate its rollout.

Elon's Support

Donald Trump has proposed launching a "gold card" program offering US residency for $5 million. Elon Musk’s DOGE has begun rolling out the technology to enable it. https://t.co/mjiuV7Ia6F

EB-5 vs Gold Card: What lies ahead for US investment immigration?

https://t.co/U954zPqQ8i

Opinion | EB-5 investor program and Gold Card: America’s economic secret weapons @WashTimesOpEd

https://t.co/P6kOPRccKo https://t.co/jRmLrFZXyD

Gold Card Immigration: Creating Jobs, Cutting the Deficit https://t.co/0R8ZleHGyo

Bitcoin Magazine CEO David Bailey suggested using Bitcoin to fund the initiative, potentially easing financial transactions for high-net-worth applicants and boosting crypto reserves.

Funded with Bitcoin?

Chinese nationals will just purchase the Trump gold card for 5 million and buy up farmland here as American citizens. 25 D chess. https://t.co/p1h074Tabi

If the Trump "Gold Card" plan for affluent migrants is moving forward, there’s no reason we can't enact a reasonable program that imposes a fine and offers a pathway to permanent residency for the vast majority of hardworking, entrepreneurial, and law-abiding families among the

Bitcoin Magazine’s CEO suggests using Bitcoin to fund Trump’s $5 million Gold Card residency program https://t.co/eRUhXyIEa6

🔑 Bitcoin &amp; The Gold Card

David Bailey has proposed using #Bitcoin to fund the Trump administration’s Gold Card program. 

This could allow high-net-worth individuals to pay $5 million for U.S. residency.

Is this a win for crypto? Or a new path for the wealthy? https://t.co/akuAYBhlsC

Perhaps it will workout the same way, as Trump's 5 million USD to purchase US green card (sorry, Trump Gold card) plan😃 https://t.co/NrYirdiVEp

Last week, Trump announced his “gold card” program, and the Left immediately flipped out and said the program would be used by people who don’t share American values.

This week, Democrats are all defending a green card holder that doesn’t share American values.

You can’t make

💰 Trump’s ‘gold card’ plan: $5M fast-track to U.S. citizenship? 💰

Donald Trump is pitching a bold new idea—selling $5 million "gold cards" to wealthy immigrants, offering them a fast track to U.S. citizenship. He claims that selling 10 million cards could generate $50 https://t.co/iJGkUO45hB

Trump’s Gold Card: A New Path to US Citizenship

Read More: https://t.co/6Dlgs7GGse

#ARYNews https://t.co/rziZUKlplH

🔥 Hot: 💰Trade Bitcoin for Trump’s “Gold Card”? 🤔

BTC Inc. CEO David Bailey suggests merging Bitcoin with Trump’s plan—boost crypto reserves at zero cost!

He notes that elites struggle to move $5M abroad, but Bitcoin offers a safer, discreet solution. If adopted, it would

Trump’ın “Gold Card” Vizesine Bitcoin Entegrasyonu Gündemde: ABD Oturumu İçin BTC Önerisi!

https://t.co/5aIV4JXCIR https://t.co/TKSzPmlWo9

In furtherance of President @realDonaldTrump's immigration agenda, we are expanding our advisory services to include consulting on the #EB5 visa and the proposed Gold Card. 

The EB-5 visa program is still law and grants foreign nationals and their families a visa, work permit, https://t.co/7SouDZFJuX

Trump is proposing a US$5 million ‘Gold Card’ citizenship program. Could a similar plan work for Canada? https://t.co/FzgZTjtEZ6 https://t.co/WqZcHUEwAd

Trump is proposing a US$5 million ‘Gold Card’ citizenship program. Could a similar plan work for Canada? https://t.co/yjKeuq8578 https://t.co/F0xfqgbFZj

Bitcoin Magazine CEO David Bailey has proposed to the Trump administration that the US fund the Gold Card program using Bitcoin, suggesting it as a solution for high-net-worth individuals facing challenges in transferring $5 million through traditional fiat channels.

David Bailey, CEO of #BTC Inc. and one of the attendees of the Trump Administration’s #crypto summit, stated that there should be a path for paying for the proposed “gold card” with #bitcoin. This would allow the country to add to its recently formed strategic #Bitcoin reserve https://t.co/tpthvNnUuA

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Will Trump issue a Gold Card before August?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Will Trump issue a Gold Card before July?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by April 18, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump issue a Gold Card by Friday?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by May 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repoting may also be used.  

Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. 

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit Iowa in 2026?

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes 750,000 or more non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used. 

Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.

Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.

Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?

On December 16, 2025, President Donald Trump issued a proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States”, which updated and expanded partial and full suspensions of entry into the U.S. for nationals of various countries (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/). 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or if the Trump administration otherwise takes any formal action which is aimed at fully or partially suspending entry into the U.S. for nationals of any specific, additional country between market issuance and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying action must be aimed at restricting or banning entry into the United States for nationals of a particular country or countries. Blanket actions to restrict entry for individuals holding certain visa classes, or other generalized entry restrictions, which do not target a specific country or countries, will not count.

Additional country refers to any country not subject to a full or partial suspension of entry as of the December 16 proclamation.

Any qualifying government action taken within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the policy takes effect. However, announcements of future or planned bans which are not made official through government action will not qualify.

Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action which creates or orders the creation of a federal cap on credit card interest rates in the United States by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A “cap on credit card interest rates” is defined as a legally binding maximum interest rate (e.g., an APR ceiling, stated as a percentage) that makes it unlawful for credit card issuers to charge above a specified rate of interest on consumer credit cards. Non-binding guidance, agency recommendations, actions that only cap fees, or other actions that do not cap interest rates/APR will not qualify.

A qualifying action must apply broadly to consumer credit card interest rates in the United States. State-level caps or actions that only apply to a narrow subset of borrowers or lenders will not qualify. Limited exceptions, however, will not disqualify an action from counting (e.g. a cap which is broadly applicable to consumer credit card interest rates in the U.S., but exempts a limited and specific set of credit card products/categories would still count).

Any legislation or executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) which creates or directly orders the implementation of a qualifying cap will count. Announcements, proposals, requests for study, or other actions that do not themselves create or order the creation of such a cap will not count. A qualifying action within the market’s time frame will count regardless of when the cap goes into effect or any legal or other challenges it may face after enactment.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by March 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

On August 18, 2025, President Donald J. Trump announced his commitment to eliminate mail-in voting and voting machines in U.S. elections, ahead of the 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that inhibits mail-in voting or voting machines from use for the 2026 midterm election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any executive action or legislation that restricts, limits, or prohibits the use of mail-in voting or voting machines in any way will qualify, even if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse Steve Hilton in CA-Gov for Nov 2 2026 ET?

This market will resolve according to the next listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration.

If none of the listed individuals leave between December 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
A listed individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. 

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

duplicate Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Such a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market.

If capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market.

If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

Donald Trump showed the middle finger to an individual heckling him at a Minnesota Ford plant on January 13 (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/13/politics/ford-plant-trump-middle-finger-flip).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively.  Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.

Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.

AI-generated images or video will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.

Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is interviewed by Tucker Carlson between November 17, 2025 and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An interview is defined as a scheduled, recorded conversation where Donald Trump answers questions posed by Tucker Carlson. Press conferences or media briefings held by the White House with Carlson in attendance will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a credible consensus of reporting that Donald Trump has recorded an interview with Tucker Carlson before February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, even if that interview is not yet released.

The resolution source for this market will be publicly available video footage of the interview; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tucker Carlson interview Trump by February 28?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country named in President Donald Trump’s December 16, 2025, proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States” is fully removed from the list of countries subject to full or partial entry suspensions by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A country will be considered "removed" if any of the following occur:
- The President or Executive Branch formally revokes or modifies the proclamation to remove the country
- A federal court issues a final ruling or permanent injunction that blocks the restrictions for that country
- Congress passes legislation lifting the restrictions for that country
- A relevant federal agency (e.g., DHS, State Department) issues official guidance or updates visa policy indicating the country is no longer subject to restrictions
- Nationals of the country resume receiving visas under all categories that had been suspended, without case-by-case waivers

The following do not count as a country being removed:
- Temporary restraining orders or preliminary injunctions (unless later made permanent)
- Delays in enforcement, individual exemptions, or case-by-case waivers
- Diplomatic negotiations or public statements about potential future removal without official action
- Partial easing that still imposes core restrictions (e.g., resuming B-1/B-2 visas while immigrant visas remain banned)

Any official executive, legislative, or judicial action that prevents the proclamation from taking effect on January 1, 2026, or that pauses or ends the travel ban or restriction of a specified country will suffice. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official government communications.

Trump's travel ban removed by January 31?

This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) on which the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. 

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. 

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made on a listed date, will also resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If no qualifying announcement is made by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by Jan 31”.

The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks on Trump accounts in Washington on January 28, 2026 (see: https://www.forth.news/whpool/CXURpu8PNRRFiEpe8Er62).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on January 28, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the speech about Trump accounts on January 28th (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CXURpu8PNRRFiEpe8Er62). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Trump" 6+ times during remarks on January 28?

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

0
$3,282,110 Vol.
Yes

1-100
$1,280,140 Vol.
No

101-1k
$1,041,486 Vol.
No

1k-2.5k
$747,229 Vol.
No

2.5k-5k
$767,925 Vol.
No

5k-10k
$952,438 Vol.
No

10k-25k
$732,256 Vol.
No

25k-100k
$835,395 Vol.
No

>100k
$814,925 Vol.
No

Market Context

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

Rules

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

Market Context

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

About

Related

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

0$3,282,110 Vol.Yes

1-100$1,280,140 Vol.No

101-1k$1,041,486 Vol.No

1k-2.5k$747,229 Vol.No

2.5k-5k$767,925 Vol.No

5k-10k$952,438 Vol.No

10k-25k$732,256 Vol.No

25k-100k$835,395 Vol.No

>100k$814,925 Vol.No

Market Context

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

Rules

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

Market Context

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

About

Related

0
$3,282,110 Vol.
Yes

1-100
$1,280,140 Vol.
No

101-1k
$1,041,486 Vol.
No

1k-2.5k
$747,229 Vol.
No

2.5k-5k
$767,925 Vol.
No

5k-10k
$952,438 Vol.
No

10k-25k
$732,256 Vol.
No

25k-100k
$835,395 Vol.
No

>100k
$814,925 Vol.
No