Name: How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 3?
Start: 2025-01-21T20:47:12.432164Z
End: 2025-01-23T12:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to the number of executive orders issued by Donald Trump on January 22, 2025.

This market will resolve exclusively on the number of executive orders issued; executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 22, 2025 will count for this market.

Trump Daily EOs

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 3?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 29, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 29, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 10?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 6, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will remain open until 11:59 PM ET of [day+7] until it is either confirmed or denied by the federal registrar, the White House or a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 6?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 8, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 8?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 10, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 10?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of February 2, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 14?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 28, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 27, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 8?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of February 1, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 13?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 25, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 25, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 6?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 24, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 24, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 5?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 11, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).


Will Trump issue an executive order on February 11?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 19, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 19?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 21, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 21?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 13, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 13?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 23, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 23?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 31, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 12?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 3, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of February 3, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 15?

This market will resolve to the number of executive orders issued by Donald Trump on January 21, 2025.

This market will resolve exclusively on the number of executive orders issued; executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 21, 2025 will count for this market.

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 2?

This is a market on the number of Executive Orders that Trump will issue on his first day in office.

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 4, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will remain open until 11:59PM ET of [day+7] until it is either confirmed or denied by the federal registrar, the White House or a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 12, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 12?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 19, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 19?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 16, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 16?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 22, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 22?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 24, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 24?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 1?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 6, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 6?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 26, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 26, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 7?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 7, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 7?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 17, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 17?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 9?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 14, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 14?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 13, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 13?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 16, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 16?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 20?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 5, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 5?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 30, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 23, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

 Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 23, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 4?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 5, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will remain open until 11:59 PM ET of [day+7] until it is either confirmed or denied by the federal registrar, the White House or a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 5?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 15, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 15?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 18, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 18?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 25, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 25?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 28?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 2?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 7, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 7?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 10, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 10?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 14, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 14?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 18, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 18?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 20?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 22, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 22?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 27?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 3, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 3?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 9?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 11, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 11?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 12, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 12?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 15, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 15?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 26, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 26?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 4, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 4?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 8, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 8?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 17, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 17?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 21, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 21?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 23, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 23?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 24-28)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 28- April 4))

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. 

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (April 12-18)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (May 10-16)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (May 24-30)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (June 7-13)

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 5 - July 11)

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.


Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (June 28 - July 4)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 12 - July 18)

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.



Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (June 14-20)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (June 21-27)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 19 - July 25)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 26 - August 1)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (August 23-29)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (September 6-12)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (August 9 - August 15)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (August 16-22)

Donald Trump is set to make an address on December 17, 2025 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115730644486071082).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled address on December 17, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Border" while addressing the nation on December 17?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any executive order by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that aims to eliminate or dismantle the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trump executive order ending NASA in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump golfs on over 25% of days between January 20 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to https://trumpgolftrack.com as of January 2, 2026, 12:00 PM. However, definitive photo or video evidence confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to supplement the tally if the trumpgolftrack.com tally is incomplete. 

 


Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?

On April 2, Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on all imports set to take effect on April 5, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which pauses, delays, or removes the 10% general tariff by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

Actions which remove the general 10% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 10% without removing it will not qualify.

Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) between October 1, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.

Trump declares another national emergency by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump announces that he is running for a third term as US President by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Trump must definitively state his intent to run (e.g., "I am running for a third term" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice. 

Past statements such his March 30 NBC phone interview where he stated "There are methods which you could do it, as you know... A lot of people want me to do it." or his November 13, 2024, where he stated "I suspect I won’t be running again unless you say, ‘He’s so good we’ve got to figure something else out.’" would NOT qualify. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Donald Trump (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trump announce run for 3rd term?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.

Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.

Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?

Donald Trump is set to make an appearance at the Rocky Mount Events Center on December 19, 2025 (https://www.wral.com/news/local/president-trump-speak-rocky-mount-friday-december-2025/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at Rocky Mount on December 19, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Mexico" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues a presidential veto of any bill by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official congressional records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Donald Trump is set to make an appearance at the 48th Annual Kennedy Center Honors, which is scheduled to air on December 23, 2025 (https://www.npr.org/2025/12/05/nx-s1-5607173/kennedy-center-honors-trump).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at the Kennedy Center Honors event on December 7, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Trump" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues a presidential veto, by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, of any bill or resolution that explicitly mandates, compels, or formally calls for the public release of documents related to Jeffrey Epstein. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be official congressional records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit Florida in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the next listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration.

If none of the listed individuals leave between December 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
A listed individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. 

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

duplicate Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Hanukkah" this week? (December 15 - 21)

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse Steve Hilton in CA-Gov for Nov 2 2026 ET?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 3?

0
$301,770 Vol.
No

1-3
$25,021 Vol.
Yes

4-6
$16,272 Vol.
No

7-9
$17,614 Vol.
No

10+
$21,292 Vol.
No

Market Context

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 3?

Rules

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 3?

Market Context

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 3?

About

Related

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 3?

0$301,770 Vol.Nocircle xmark

1-3$25,021 Vol.Yescircle check

4-6$16,272 Vol.Nocircle xmark

7-9$17,614 Vol.Nocircle xmark

10+$21,292 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 3?

Rules

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 3?

Market Context

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 3?

About

Related

0
$301,770 Vol.
No

1-3
$25,021 Vol.
Yes

4-6
$16,272 Vol.
No

7-9
$17,614 Vol.
No

10+
$21,292 Vol.
No