Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations in Wuhan have already recorded a peak temperature of 23.9°C earlier today under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds less than 3 m/s, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on 22°C or higher as the day's maximum. This aligns with ensemble forecast models from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather projecting highs of 23–24°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge fostering springtime daytime heating above the late-March climatological average of 17–19°C. Recent warm anomalies, including 28°C on March 22, reinforce trader consensus via the wisdom of crowds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-peak but could involve rare data revisions from outlier station readings or aggregation adjustments before final daily reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
22°C or higher 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$77,922 Vol.
$77,922 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
100%
22°C or higher 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$77,922 Vol.
$77,922 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
18°C
$6,085 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$7,298 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$9,856 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5,502 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$6,458 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations in Wuhan have already recorded a peak temperature of 23.9°C earlier today under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds less than 3 m/s, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on 22°C or higher as the day's maximum. This aligns with ensemble forecast models from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather projecting highs of 23–24°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge fostering springtime daytime heating above the late-March climatological average of 17–19°C. Recent warm anomalies, including 28°C on March 22, reinforce trader consensus via the wisdom of crowds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-peak but could involve rare data revisions from outlier station readings or aggregation adjustments before final daily reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Volume
$77,922End Date
Mar 28, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations in Wuhan have already recorded a peak temperature of 23.9°C earlier today under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds less than 3 m/s, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on 22°C or higher as the day's maximum. This aligns with ensemble forecast models from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather projecting highs of 23–24°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge fostering springtime daytime heating above the late-March climatological average of 17–19°C. Recent warm anomalies, including 28°C on March 22, reinforce trader consensus via the wisdom of crowds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-peak but could involve rare data revisions from outlier station readings or aggregation adjustments before final daily reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$77,922End Date
Mar 28, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations in Wuhan have already recorded a peak temperature of 23.9°C earlier today under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds less than 3 m/s, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on 22°C or higher as the day's maximum. This aligns with ensemble forecast models from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather projecting highs of 23–24°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge fostering springtime daytime heating above the late-March climatological average of 17–19°C. Recent warm anomalies, including 28°C on March 22, reinforce trader consensus via the wisdom of crowds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-peak but could involve rare data revisions from outlier station readings or aggregation adjustments before final daily reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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