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Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?

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Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?

24°C 100.0%

15°C or below <1%

16°C <1%

17°C <1%

Polymarket

$59,927 Vol.

24°C 100.0%

15°C or below <1%

16°C <1%

17°C <1%

Polymarket

$59,927 Vol.

15°C or below

$0 Vol.

No

16°C

$3,268 Vol.

No

17°C

$2,284 Vol.

No

18°C

$4,756 Vol.

No

19°C

$5,162 Vol.

No

20°C

$4,257 Vol.

No

21°C

$3,115 Vol.

No

22°C

$7,177 Vol.

No

23°C

$9,217 Vol.

No

24°C

$12,087 Vol.

Yes

25°C or higher

$8,604 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a high of exactly 24°C in Wuhan on March 27, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which converge on this peak amid mild spring conditions featuring light southerly winds and partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns, showing current surface observations trending 1-2°C below recent averages, with no signals of intensification from upper-air patterns or frontal boundaries. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though rare scenarios like a sudden clear-sky surge or localized urban heat island amplification could push toward 25°C or higher; hourly updates from monitoring stations will provide definitive data as the date progresses.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a high of exactly 24°C in Wuhan on March 27, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which converge on this peak amid mild spring conditions featuring light southerly winds and partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns, showing current surface observations trending 1-2°C below recent averages, with no signals of intensification from upper-air patterns or frontal boundaries. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though rare scenarios like a sudden clear-sky surge or localized urban heat island amplification could push toward 25°C or higher; hourly updates from monitoring stations will provide definitive data as the date progresses.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a high of exactly 24°C in Wuhan on March 27, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which converge on this peak amid mild spring conditions featuring light southerly winds and partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns, showing current surface observations trending 1-2°C below recent averages, with no signals of intensification from upper-air patterns or frontal boundaries. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though rare scenarios like a sudden clear-sky surge or localized urban heat island amplification could push toward 25°C or higher; hourly updates from monitoring stations will provide definitive data as the date progresses.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a high of exactly 24°C in Wuhan on March 27, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which converge on this peak amid mild spring conditions featuring light southerly winds and partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns, showing current surface observations trending 1-2°C below recent averages, with no signals of intensification from upper-air patterns or frontal boundaries. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though rare scenarios like a sudden clear-sky surge or localized urban heat island amplification could push toward 25°C or higher; hourly updates from monitoring stations will provide definitive data as the date progresses.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "24°C" at 100%, followed by "15°C or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?" has generated $59.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?" is "24°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "15°C or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.